TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11939223
Played May 25Finished
Martin Drabek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9118111181012––
Milan Barton
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMartin Drabek above · Milan Barton below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 80 set 4, 10-12
80 points played in total.
H2H Martin Drabek 2–0 Milan Barton Milan Barton has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Drabek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDrabek 1.80 / Barton 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Drabek)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #11939223
Drabek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Barton1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 3 of 10
Down 0–1, comes back25% 2 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back33% 2 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDrabek2wins
AwayBarton0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderDrabek leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricDrabekBartonD − BBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match50.546.5+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDrabekBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 233 vs 41 / 8236.5%50%85 / 233 vs 41 / 82Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DrabekDrabek 1.80/Barton 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Drabek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Barton won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WApr 29 · 21:00M. Drabek—3M. Barton—2
WApr 29 · 19:45M. Drabek—3M. Barton—1
M. Drabek10
LSep 10 · 20:28M. Drabek1.73771171F. Schmidtmayer2.0011115113WSep 10 · 19:30F. Schmidtmayer1.83211641M. Drabek1.8311711113WSep 10 · 19:00M. Drabek1.9112911113J. Pina1.801011681WSep 10 · 18:00M. Drabek3.0021311113T. Stejskal1.361111941LAug 11 · 20:43J. Hanacek1.911111113M. Drabek1.807930WAug 11 · 19:30M. Drabek1.83101111113J. Hanacek1.83127971LAug 11 · 18:30M. Drabek2.20119981L. Krasl1.6191111113WAug 11 · 17:30M. Drabek2.0011117113J. Mejzlik1.73871191LJun 19 · 20:38V. Herrmann1.5711118133M. Drabek2.256711111LJun 19 · 19:30J. Marhol1.4041111113M. Drabek2.75117571
M. Barton10
WSep 15 · 21:08M. Barton1.671111113A. Dvoracek2.109640WSep 15 · 20:00A. Dvoracek1.8311871172M. Barton1.83411118113LSep 15 · 19:00J. Hanacek1.8311137113M. Barton1.835111191LSep 15 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer2.251111113M. Barton1.579660WJul 16 · 20:29K. Jirousek1.9191050M. Barton1.801112113WJul 16 · 19:30M. Barton1.91118118113K. Jirousek1.8071171172LJul 16 · 18:30M. Barton1.441121181L. Tuma2.6381113113LJul 16 · 17:30M. Barton2.10712871F. Kubos1.67111011113LMay 25 · 20:58E. Ondracek1.5711116113M. Barton2.25561121LMay 25 · 20:00M. Barton1.805730E. Ondracek1.911111113
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