TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116959
Played Sep 12Finished
Karel Jirousek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191156111311––
Karel Farsky
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:19 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeKarel Jirousek to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarel Jirousek above · Karel Farsky below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 77 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Karel Jirousek at 55.8%
77 points played in total.
H2H Karel Jirousek 4–3 Karel Farsky Karel Farsky has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:19What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jirousek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jirousek 1463 vs Farsky 1411
Jirousek
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jirousek 40% vs Farsky 60%
Farsky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jirousek 50% vs Farsky 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jirousek +1 · Farsky +3
Farsky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Jirousek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Farsky form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJirousek 1.67 / Farsky 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Jirousek)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13116959
Jirousek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite48% won 43 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it70% 33 of 47
Farsky2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 32 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeJirousek4wins
AwayFarsky3wins
1 of 7 to a deciderJirousek leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJirousek60%3 of 5
AwayFarskyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jirousek5Farsky2n = 7Jirousek took 5 of 7
S2Jirousek3Farsky4n = 7Farsky took 4 of 7
S3Jirousek4Farsky3n = 7Jirousek took 4 of 7
S4Jirousek4Farsky3n = 7Jirousek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home457%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricJirousekFarskyJ − FBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match39.736.9+2.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJirousekFarskyBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 449 vs 170 / 35251.5%48.3%231 / 449 vs 170 / 352Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JirousekJirousek 1.67/Farsky 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Jirousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jirousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 12 · 07:30K. Jirousek—11116133K. Farsky—9511111
WSep 6 · 19:00K. Jirousek—71111133K. Farsky—1159111
WAug 27 · 17:30K. Jirousek—11911113K. Farsky—311971
WAug 11 · 15:00K. Jirousek—11116113K. Farsky—251161
LMar 22 · 19:00K. Jirousek—11712662K. Farsky—6111011113
LNov 2 · 09:58K. Jirousek—961191K. Farsky—11119113
LNov 2 · 06:30K. Jirousek—1112591K. Farsky—51411113
K. Jirousek10
WSep 12 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8371111143M. Vorel1.831168121LSep 12 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.7311119662A. Dvoracek2.00841111113WSep 11 · 20:24K. Jirousek2.50111111113J. Botka1.50613491LSep 11 · 19:15J. Botka1.30111177113K. Jirousek3.4057111162LSep 11 · 18:45K. Jirousek1.917670T. Bertho1.801111113LSep 11 · 17:45K. Jirousek2.38711871L. Hendrych1.5311311113WSep 6 · 21:03K. Jirousek1.5711127113J. Pina2.255101131LSep 6 · 20:00A. Dvoracek2.20713119123K. Jirousek1.611111711102WSep 6 · 19:00K. Farsky1.831159111K. Jirousek1.8371111133WSep 6 · 17:30J. Pina2.255141151K. Jirousek1.5711168113
K. Farsky10
WSep 12 · 07:00K. Farsky1.61119116113A. Dvoracek2.2091131172WSep 12 · 06:00K. Farsky1.611216113M. Vorel2.20101450WSep 6 · 20:33A. Dvoracek1.807860K. Farsky1.911111113LSep 6 · 19:30J. Pina2.10711511143K. Farsky1.67116117122LSep 6 · 19:00K. Farsky1.831159111K. Jirousek1.8371111133LSep 6 · 18:00K. Farsky1.731472101A. Dvoracek2.00121111123LSep 1 · 17:08K. Farsky1.8081151352T. Bertho1.911131111113WSep 1 · 16:00P. Kotrbacek2.2531161132K. Farsky1.57117119113LSep 1 · 15:00T. Bertho2.001111113K. Farsky1.737450WSep 1 · 13:30F. Schmidtmayer1.83991391K. Farsky1.83111111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.