TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142687
Played Sep 17Finished
Karel Jirousek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
3111171210118––
Adam Dvoracek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:11 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeKarel Jirousek to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarel Jirousek above · Adam Dvoracek below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Karel Jirousek at 57.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Karel Jirousek 7–7 Adam Dvoracek Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:11What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jirousek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jirousek 1474 vs Dvoracek 1418
Jirousek
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jirousek 80% vs Dvoracek 60%
Jirousek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jirousek 50% vs Dvoracek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jirousek +3 · Dvoracek +1
Jirousek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Jirousek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvoracek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJirousek 1.67 / Dvoracek 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Jirousek)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13142687
Jirousek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite44% won 32 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it68% 25 of 37
Dvoracek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 58 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back30% 21 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back14% 5 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJirousek5wins
AwayDvoracek5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJirousek50%4 of 8
AwayDvoracekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jirousek8Dvoracek2n = 10Jirousek took 8 of 10
S2Jirousek5Dvoracek5n = 10split evenly
S3Jirousek5Dvoracek5n = 10split evenly
S4Jirousek3Dvoracek6n = 9Dvoracek took 6 of 9
S5Jirousek2Dvoracek3n = 5Dvoracek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJirousekDvoracekJ − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.739.4+3.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJirousekDvoracekBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 449 vs 254 / 48651.7%52.3%232 / 449 vs 254 / 486Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JirousekJirousek 1.67/Dvoracek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Jirousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jirousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 09:00K. Jirousek4291111113A. Dvoracek32116781
LSep 12 · 05:30K. Jirousek4311119662A. Dvoracek45841111113
LSep 6 · 20:00K. Jirousek501111711102A. Dvoracek52713119123
WAug 20 · 20:29K. Jirousek4311119123A. Dvoracek323811101
WAug 20 · 18:29K. Jirousek501151112113A. Dvoracek3651121442
WJul 22 · 15:00K. Jirousek331111113A. Dvoracek249690
LJul 15 · 13:45K. Jirousek33119851A. Dvoracek3851111113
LJun 27 · 13:15K. Jirousek4411117782A. Dvoracek46851111113
WJun 6 · 15:30K. Jirousek511110118113A. Dvoracek4271281142
LJun 3 · 09:45K. Jirousek38881661A. Dvoracek47111114113
K. Jirousek10
WSep 17 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8361111143J. Hanacek1.831188121WSep 12 · 09:00A. Dvoracek1.57116781K. Jirousek2.2591111113WSep 12 · 07:30K. Jirousek1.6711116133K. Farsky2.109511111WSep 12 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8371111143M. Vorel1.831168121LSep 12 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.7311119662A. Dvoracek2.00841111113WSep 11 · 20:24K. Jirousek2.50111111113J. Botka1.50613491LSep 11 · 19:15J. Botka1.30111177113K. Jirousek3.4057111162LSep 11 · 18:45K. Jirousek1.917670T. Bertho1.801111113LSep 11 · 17:45K. Jirousek2.38711871L. Hendrych1.5311311113WSep 6 · 21:03K. Jirousek1.5711127113J. Pina2.255101131
A. Dvoracek10
WSep 16 · 12:59A. Dvoracek1.7311911113M. Vorel2.00611891LSep 16 · 12:00M. Vorel1.9111911113A. Dvoracek1.80611671WSep 16 · 11:00M. Melisek2.258770A. Dvoracek1.571111113WSep 16 · 09:30M. Hasman1.5359111172A. Dvoracek2.38111166113LSep 15 · 21:08M. Barton1.671111113A. Dvoracek2.109640LSep 15 · 20:00A. Dvoracek1.8311871172M. Barton1.83411118113WSep 15 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer2.0081171172A. Dvoracek1.73118113113LSep 15 · 18:00J. Hanacek2.00111110113A. Dvoracek1.73981281LSep 12 · 09:00A. Dvoracek1.57116781K. Jirousek2.2591111113WSep 12 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.7311119662A. Dvoracek2.00841111113
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