TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155787
Played Sep 19Finished
Jan Seeman
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111181416711––
Josef Hanacek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Hanacek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Seeman above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 83 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Josef Hanacek at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Jan Seeman 12–15 Josef Hanacek Jan Seeman has won 12 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:48What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hanacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-15 in 27
Hanacek
Correct
gap of 3 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Seeman 1391 vs Hanacek 1393
Hanacek
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Seeman 40% vs Hanacek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Seeman 60% vs Hanacek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Seeman +1 · Hanacek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hanacek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeeman 2.10 / Hanacek 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Hanacek)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13155787
Seeman2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 37 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back31% 15 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Hanacek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 61 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it82% 41 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSeeman3wins
AwayHanacek7wins
8 of 10 to a deciderHanacek leads 7–3, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeeman0%0 of 3
AwayHanacek57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Seeman3Hanacek7n = 10Hanacek took 7 of 10
S2Seeman3Hanacek7n = 10Hanacek took 7 of 10
S3Seeman4Hanacek6n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S4Seeman7Hanacek2n = 9Seeman took 7 of 9
S5Seeman3Hanacek4n = 7Hanacek took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSeemanHanacekS − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match43.748.9−5.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeemanHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 273 vs 232 / 45747.3%50.8%129 / 273 vs 232 / 457Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HanacekSeeman 2.10/Hanacek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Hanacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hanacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 9 · 08:00J. Seeman31114881J. Hanacek3961111113
LJul 31 · 09:45J. Seeman51913121162J. Hanacek5611111013113
WJul 27 · 09:09J. Seeman52981112123J. Hanacek511111910102
WJul 27 · 08:00J. Seeman515101112133J. Hanacek521112810112
LJul 25 · 19:45J. Seeman4911881392J. Hanacek539111111113
LJul 24 · 20:28J. Seeman48711614102J. Hanacek551191112123
LJul 24 · 19:30J. Seeman182970J. Hanacek331111113
LFeb 22 · 19:00J. Seeman4914981172J. Hanacek521211117113
WDec 29 · 22:15J. Seeman44411711113J. Hanacek4911911992
J. Seeman10
LSep 19 · 16:39M. Melisek1.401111103J. Seeman2.758860WSep 19 · 14:30J. Seeman3.2511118113M. Melisek1.33291171LSep 19 · 13:30J. Seeman1.73811611L. Krutina2.001191143WSep 17 · 12:29P. Moulis1.731161111112J. Seeman2.00311138133LSep 17 · 11:30J. Seeman1.731311101562J. Jnr2.0011131213113LSep 17 · 10:30J. Seeman1.5711791132L. Krutina2.25811119113WSep 17 · 09:30J. Seeman2.1041115113P. Moulis1.671191351WSep 13 · 16:59J. Seeman1.44101111123L. Krutina2.631288101WSep 13 · 16:00L. Krutina1.91491181J. Seeman1.8011118113LSep 13 · 15:00M. Holub2.75111171133J. Seeman1.40491111112
J. Hanacek10
LSep 19 · 15:00J. Hanacek2.207111251L. Krutina1.611171493WSep 19 · 14:00J. Hanacek1.6779111183M. Melisek2.1011116862LSep 17 · 08:58A. Dvoracek1.8311611113J. Hanacek1.83711881WSep 17 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.0011129143A. Dvoracek1.7351011121LSep 17 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8361111143J. Hanacek1.831188121LSep 17 · 06:00M. Vorel2.50118137113J. Hanacek1.50611111172WSep 15 · 20:39J. Hanacek2.2081111113F. Schmidtmayer1.61115681LSep 15 · 19:30F. Schmidtmayer1.8011119113J. Hanacek1.91891191WSep 15 · 19:00J. Hanacek1.8311137113M. Barton1.835111191WSep 15 · 18:00J. Hanacek2.00111110113A. Dvoracek1.73981281
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