TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13145382
Played Sep 17Finished
Adam Dvoracek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117611118118––
Josef Hanacek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingAdam Dvoracek above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8
73 points played in total.
H2H Adam Dvoracek 16–15 Josef Hanacek Josef Hanacek has won 15 of their 31 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Hanacek beat Dvoracek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hanacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvoracek 1.83 / Hanacek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hanacek)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13145382
Dvoracek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Hanacek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDvoracek4wins
AwayHanacek6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHanacek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDvoracek60%3 of 5
AwayHanacek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dvoracek5Hanacek5n = 10split evenly
S2Dvoracek4Hanacek6n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S3Dvoracek4Hanacek6n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S4Dvoracek6Hanacek4n = 10Dvoracek took 6 of 10
S5Dvoracek2Hanacek3n = 5Hanacek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDvoracekHanacekD − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.445.3−1.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvoracekHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 489 vs 232 / 45751.9%50.8%254 / 489 vs 232 / 457Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HanacekDvoracek 1.83/Hanacek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hanacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dvoracek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 08:00A. Dvoracek3851011121J. Hanacek4611129143
LSep 15 · 18:00A. Dvoracek37981281J. Hanacek43111110113
LSep 11 · 13:09A. Dvoracek5371361982J. Hanacek6111111117113
WSep 11 · 12:00A. Dvoracek561211166113J. Hanacek561013141182
WAug 30 · 16:00A. Dvoracek43611411113J. Hanacek4311911752
WAug 29 · 16:59A. Dvoracek4212119103J. Hanacek341091141
LAug 29 · 16:00A. Dvoracek4312861162J. Hanacek451011112113
WAug 26 · 10:00A. Dvoracek4211119113J. Hanacek31661181
LAug 21 · 12:00A. Dvoracek4211951162J. Hanacek46611117113
LAug 19 · 20:48A. Dvoracek38961761J. Hanacek48111115113
A. Dvoracek10
LSep 17 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.0011129143A. Dvoracek1.7351011121LSep 17 · 07:00M. Vorel2.0011119113A. Dvoracek1.73661161LSep 17 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.6731112113A. Dvoracek2.101171081WSep 16 · 12:59A. Dvoracek1.7311911113M. Vorel2.00611891LSep 16 · 12:00M. Vorel1.9111911113A. Dvoracek1.80611671WSep 16 · 11:00M. Melisek2.258770A. Dvoracek1.571111113WSep 16 · 09:30M. Hasman1.5359111172A. Dvoracek2.38111166113LSep 15 · 21:08M. Barton1.671111113A. Dvoracek2.109640LSep 15 · 20:00A. Dvoracek1.8311871172M. Barton1.83411118113WSep 15 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer2.0081171172A. Dvoracek1.73118113113
J. Hanacek10
WSep 17 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.0011129143A. Dvoracek1.7351011121LSep 17 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8361111143J. Hanacek1.831188121LSep 17 · 06:00M. Vorel2.50118137113J. Hanacek1.50611111172WSep 15 · 20:39J. Hanacek2.2081111113F. Schmidtmayer1.61115681LSep 15 · 19:30F. Schmidtmayer1.8011119113J. Hanacek1.91891191WSep 15 · 19:00J. Hanacek1.8311137113M. Barton1.835111191WSep 15 · 18:00J. Hanacek2.00111110113A. Dvoracek1.73981281WSep 14 · 16:39J. Hanacek2.101151111113E. Ondracek1.6713117562LSep 14 · 16:00L. Tuma1.73741211113J. Hanacek2.00111110742LSep 14 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.101111113J. Hanacek1.678680
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.