TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13146509
Played Sep 17Finished
Lukas Krutina
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118115911911115
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingLukas Krutina above · Jakub Dufek Jnr below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 91 set 5, 11-5
91 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krutina 11–6 Jakub Dufek Jnr Jakub Dufek Jnr has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Krutina beat Jnr 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Krutina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrutina 1.57 / Jnr 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Krutina)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13146509
Krutina1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 32 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it72% 23 of 32
Jnr2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 77 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back29% 21 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrutina6wins
AwayJnr4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKrutina leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrutina66.7%2 of 3
AwayJnr42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krutina3Jnr7n = 10Jnr took 7 of 10
S2Krutina6Jnr4n = 10Krutina took 6 of 10
S3Krutina6Jnr4n = 10Krutina took 6 of 10
S4Krutina6Jnr2n = 8Krutina took 6 of 8
S5Krutina3Jnr3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrutinaJnrK − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.240.1+2.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrutinaJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 220 vs 250 / 48852.3%51.2%115 / 220 vs 250 / 488Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrutinaKrutina 1.57/Jnr 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Krutina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krutina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 10:00L. Krutina4291111113J. Jnr30116761
WJun 27 · 16:44L. Krutina371111153J. Jnr2272130
WJun 27 · 15:00L. Krutina47116136113J. Jnr49811111182
WJun 24 · 11:45L. Krutina50815511113J. Jnr49111311952
WJun 22 · 13:14L. Krutina48911116113J. Jnr4111931172
LJun 22 · 10:00L. Krutina4712961372J. Jnr5410111111113
LJun 15 · 09:15L. Krutina4071171142J. Jnr45116116113
WJun 11 · 12:48L. Krutina3631111113J. Jnr28115571
LJun 11 · 10:45L. Krutina46671211102J. Jnr481111104123
LMay 9 · 17:15L. Krutina2999110J. Jnr351111133
L. Krutina10
WSep 17 · 12:00L. Krutina1.911111113P. Moulis1.807680WSep 17 · 10:30J. Seeman1.5711791132L. Krutina2.25811119113WSep 17 · 10:00J. Jnr2.10116761L. Krutina1.6791111113WSep 16 · 09:03M. Cmil1.9191191192L. Krutina1.80119117113LSep 16 · 08:00L. Krutina1.8012113852M. Cmil1.911061111113WSep 16 · 06:30M. Obraz1.6712118962L. Krutina2.101071111113WSep 16 · 06:00P. Cizek2.108670L. Krutina1.671111113LSep 13 · 16:59J. Seeman1.44101111123L. Krutina2.631288101LSep 13 · 16:00L. Krutina1.91491181J. Seeman1.8011118113WSep 13 · 14:30M. Snizek1.61116101162L. Krutina2.20811125103
J. Jnr10
WSep 17 · 11:30J. Seeman1.731311101562J. Jnr2.0011131213113WSep 17 · 11:00J. Jnr2.001111113P. Moulis1.734490LSep 17 · 10:00J. Jnr2.10116761L. Krutina1.6791111113LSep 15 · 13:08J. Jnr1.739990J. Blazek2.001111113WSep 15 · 12:00M. Obraz1.737114151J. Jnr2.0011411173LSep 15 · 11:00J. Blazek2.25811912113J. Jnr1.57117111072WSep 15 · 09:30P. Moulis1.5731111952J. Jnr2.25119711113LSep 14 · 12:33J. Jnr1.737119101D. Sabuka2.0011411123LSep 14 · 12:00J. Jnr1.916101731M. Holub1.80111215113LSep 14 · 10:30D. Sabuka2.20111212113J. Jnr1.6113101091
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.