TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Karel Farsky
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115211117911611
Josef Hanacek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Hanacek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarel Farsky above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 84 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Josef Hanacek at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Karel Farsky 1–1 Josef Hanacek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:55What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hanacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Farsky 1436 vs Hanacek 1403
Farsky
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Farsky 80% vs Hanacek 60%
Farsky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Farsky 50% vs Hanacek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Farsky +2 · Hanacek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Farsky) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Farsky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFarsky 1.83 / Hanacek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Farsky)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13161857
Farsky1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Hanacek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeFarsky1wins
AwayHanacek1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricFarskyHanacekF − HBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match45.541.0+4.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFarskyHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime168 / 345 vs 234 / 46048.7%50.9%168 / 345 vs 234 / 460Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FarskyFarsky 1.83/Hanacek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Farsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hanacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 21 · 11:00K. Farsky39881671J. Hanacek47111114113
WJun 14 · 19:15K. Farsky521191011113J. Hanacek3541112442
K. Farsky10
WSep 20 · 19:15F. Schmidtmayer1.91931271K. Farsky1.80111110113WSep 20 · 17:45K. Farsky1.531111113L. Tuma2.389590WSep 12 · 08:28M. Vorel2.50101111882K. Farsky1.50129711113LSep 12 · 07:30K. Jirousek1.6711116133K. Farsky2.109511111WSep 12 · 07:00K. Farsky1.61119116113A. Dvoracek2.2091131172WSep 12 · 06:00K. Farsky1.611216113M. Vorel2.20101450WSep 6 · 20:33A. Dvoracek1.807860K. Farsky1.911111113LSep 6 · 19:30J. Pina2.10711511143K. Farsky1.67116117122LSep 6 · 19:00K. Farsky1.831159111K. Jirousek1.8371111133LSep 6 · 18:00K. Farsky1.731472101A. Dvoracek2.00121111123
J. Hanacek10
WSep 20 · 19:45L. Tuma1.67511851J. Hanacek2.1011811113LSep 20 · 17:15F. Schmidtmayer1.83111110113J. Hanacek1.83741281WSep 19 · 17:08L. Krutina1.83681161J. Hanacek1.8311118113WSep 19 · 15:30J. Seeman2.105111471J. Hanacek1.6711816113LSep 19 · 15:00J. Hanacek2.207111251L. Krutina1.611171493WSep 19 · 14:00J. Hanacek1.6779111183M. Melisek2.1011116862LSep 17 · 08:58A. Dvoracek1.8311611113J. Hanacek1.83711881WSep 17 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.0011129143A. Dvoracek1.7351011121LSep 17 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8361111143J. Hanacek1.831188121LSep 17 · 06:00M. Vorel2.50118137113J. Hanacek1.50611111172
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