TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Ladislav Tuma
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511118811511––
Josef Hanacek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:46 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeLadislav Tuma to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLadislav Tuma above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 70 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Ladislav Tuma at 59.8%
70 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Tuma 7–2 Josef Hanacek Josef Hanacek has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:46What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Tuma
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Tuma
Wrong
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1488 vs Hanacek 1414
Tuma
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 60% vs Hanacek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 60% vs Hanacek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma +1 · Hanacek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Tuma)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 1.67 / Hanacek 2.10
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Tuma)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13162025
Tuma1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 58 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it88% 45 of 51
Hanacek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 58 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back32% 21 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeTuma7wins
AwayHanacek2wins
4 of 9 to a deciderTuma leads 7–2, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma83.3%5 of 6
AwayHanacek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma6Hanacek3n = 9Tuma took 6 of 9
S2Tuma5Hanacek4n = 9Tuma took 5 of 9
S3Tuma3Hanacek6n = 9Hanacek took 6 of 9
S4Tuma6Hanacek2n = 8Tuma took 6 of 8
S5Tuma3Hanacek1n = 4Tuma took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricTumaHanacekT − HBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match41.637.9+3.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime241 / 475 vs 235 / 46150.7%51%241 / 475 vs 235 / 461Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaTuma 1.67/Hanacek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.8%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hanacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 14 · 16:00L. Tuma45741211113J. Hanacek43111110742
WAug 10 · 15:00L. Tuma49118811113J. Hanacek4071111652
LJul 1 · 07:00L. Tuma203980J. Hanacek331111113
WJun 14 · 18:15L. Tuma43111011113J. Hanacek34912671
LJun 6 · 08:34L. Tuma51111710852J. Hanacek578151211113
WJun 6 · 05:30L. Tuma4291111113J. Hanacek29116571
WFeb 22 · 22:00L. Tuma4015113113J. Hanacek331381111
WFeb 22 · 20:00L. Tuma48141175113J. Hanacek43123111162
WFeb 15 · 16:15L. Tuma3611113113J. Hanacek29561171
L. Tuma10
LSep 20 · 20:15L. Tuma2.10151211022F. Schmidtmayer1.6713101112113WSep 20 · 18:15F. Schmidtmayer1.6795111162L. Tuma2.10111193113LSep 20 · 17:45K. Farsky1.531111113L. Tuma2.389590LSep 15 · 17:04M. Soukup1.671111113L. Tuma2.104960WSep 15 · 15:30P. Abraham2.101154111L. Tuma1.6791111133WSep 15 · 15:00L. Tuma1.531111113T. Stejskal2.388960LSep 15 · 14:00L. Tuma1.9141141122M. Soukup1.80115119113WSep 14 · 17:10L. Tuma1.401111113J. Blazek2.755880WSep 14 · 16:00L. Tuma1.73741211113J. Hanacek2.00111110742LSep 14 · 14:30J. Blazek3.0011118113L. Tuma1.36461151
J. Hanacek10
WSep 20 · 18:45K. Farsky1.8311211962J. Hanacek1.83511711113LSep 20 · 17:15F. Schmidtmayer1.83111110113J. Hanacek1.83741281WSep 19 · 17:08L. Krutina1.83681161J. Hanacek1.8311118113WSep 19 · 15:30J. Seeman2.105111471J. Hanacek1.6711816113LSep 19 · 15:00J. Hanacek2.207111251L. Krutina1.611171493WSep 19 · 14:00J. Hanacek1.6779111183M. Melisek2.1011116862LSep 17 · 08:58A. Dvoracek1.8311611113J. Hanacek1.83711881WSep 17 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.0011129143A. Dvoracek1.7351011121LSep 17 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8361111143J. Hanacek1.831188121LSep 14 · 16:00L. Tuma1.73741211113J. Hanacek2.00111110742
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