TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131288
Played Sep 15Finished
Petr Abraham
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1195114111113––
Ladislav Tuma
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:30 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeLadislav Tuma to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Abraham above · Ladislav Tuma below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 75 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Ladislav Tuma at 56.2%
75 points played in total.
H2H Petr Abraham 22–30 Ladislav Tuma Petr Abraham has won 22 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:30What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Tuma
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-30 in 52
Tuma
Correct
gap of 8 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Abraham 1501 vs Tuma 1501
Tuma
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Abraham 40% vs Tuma 60%
Tuma
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Abraham 60% vs Tuma 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Abraham -1 · Tuma +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Tuma)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAbraham 2.10 / Tuma 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Tuma)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13131288
Abraham2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 21 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back16% 8 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Tuma1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 58 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it89% 46 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAbraham3wins
AwayTuma7wins
Tuma leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAbrahamn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayTuma87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Abraham2Tuma8n = 10Tuma took 8 of 10
S2Abraham3Tuma7n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S3Abraham4Tuma6n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S4Abraham2Tuma2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricAbrahamTumaA − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.037.0−6.0per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAbrahamTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 407 vs 240 / 47551.1%50.5%208 / 407 vs 240 / 475Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaAbraham 2.10/Tuma 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 23 · 16:34P. Abraham4391111123L. Tuma361187101
WJul 23 · 14:00P. Abraham47121014113L. Tuma4210121281
LJun 24 · 16:59P. Abraham2613670L. Tuma371511113
LJun 24 · 16:00P. Abraham2266100L. Tuma341111123
LJun 9 · 16:00P. Abraham2611780L. Tuma351311113
LApr 22 · 16:58P. Abraham292111151L. Tuma4411913113
LApr 22 · 15:00P. Abraham2651380L. Tuma371115113
LMar 19 · 17:59P. Abraham114430L. Tuma331111113
LMar 19 · 16:00P. Abraham479191181L. Tuma5111218113
WFeb 11 · 15:00P. Abraham331111113L. Tuma2156100
P. Abraham10
LSep 15 · 14:30P. Abraham2.2012460M. Soukup1.611411113WSep 15 · 13:30P. Abraham2.0071311133T. Stejskal1.7311119111LSep 10 · 16:59P. Abraham2.109480T. Hanke1.671111113LSep 10 · 16:00T. Hanke1.731111113P. Abraham2.008570WSep 10 · 15:00M. Soukup1.73111121162P. Abraham2.00137113113WSep 10 · 13:30T. Bertho1.5311410101P. Abraham2.3871112123WAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103LAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122WAug 30 · 15:00P. Abraham2.631112113J. Hanacek1.4451030WAug 30 · 14:00P. Abraham1.3611101211113A. Dvoracek3.0051214882
L. Tuma10
WSep 15 · 15:00L. Tuma1.531111113T. Stejskal2.388960LSep 15 · 14:00L. Tuma1.9141141122M. Soukup1.80115119113WSep 14 · 17:10L. Tuma1.401111113J. Blazek2.755880WSep 14 · 16:00L. Tuma1.73741211113J. Hanacek2.00111110742LSep 14 · 14:30J. Blazek3.0011118113L. Tuma1.36461151WSep 14 · 14:00E. Ondracek1.737650L. Tuma2.001111113WSep 4 · 16:58K. Jirousek2.1010880L. Tuma1.671211113WSep 4 · 15:30F. Husek2.0081191192L. Tuma1.73119115113WSep 4 · 15:00L. Tuma1.911111113K. Jirousek1.809950LSep 4 · 14:00L. Tuma1.57101111922P. Kotrbacek2.25127811113
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