TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105799
Played Sep 10Finished
Tomas Hanke
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118115117––––
Petr Abraham
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Abraham to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Hanke above · Petr Abraham below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Petr Abraham at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hanke 12–12 Petr Abraham Dead even across their 24 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:41What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hanke
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-12 in 24
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hanke 1492 vs Abraham 1537
Abraham
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanke 40% vs Abraham 80%
Abraham
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanke 30% vs Abraham 80%
Abraham
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanke +1 · Abraham +3
Abraham
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Abraham)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Abraham form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanke 1.73 / Abraham 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Abraham)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13105799
Hanke1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 72 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 52 of 65
Abraham2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 24 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back15% 8 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHanke4wins
AwayAbraham6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderAbraham leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHanke80%4 of 5
AwayAbraham100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanke5Abraham5n = 10split evenly
S2Hanke7Abraham3n = 10Hanke took 7 of 10
S3Hanke1Abraham9n = 10Abraham took 9 of 10
S4Hanke6Abraham3n = 9Hanke took 6 of 9
S5Hanke1Abraham3n = 4Abraham took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHankeAbrahamH − ABasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.340.8−1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHankeAbrahamBasisWin rate · lifetime269 / 505 vs 211 / 41653.3%50.7%269 / 505 vs 211 / 416Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AbrahamHanke 1.73/Abraham 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Abraham · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hanke won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 29 · 14:30T. Hanke—5680P. Abraham—1111113
LJan 18 · 15:00T. Hanke—631171P. Abraham—11114113
LJan 17 · 08:30T. Hanke—111110692P. Abraham—961211113
WNov 16 · 07:45T. Hanke—11117103P. Abraham—991131
LSep 18 · 15:55T. Hanke—61171142P. Abraham—116118113
LAug 23 · 13:45T. Hanke—4119121P. Abraham—11811143
WAug 11 · 14:30T. Hanke—117814173P. Abraham—8111112152
WAug 8 · 16:24T. Hanke—11119113P. Abraham—961151
LAug 8 · 14:15T. Hanke—81151192P. Abraham—113118113
WAug 2 · 09:30T. Hanke—111110113P. Abraham—691271
T. Hanke10
WSep 10 · 16:59P. Abraham2.109480T. Hanke1.671111113WSep 10 · 14:30T. Bertho1.91611101162T. Hanke1.80119126113LSep 10 · 14:00M. Soukup1.61116113113T. Hanke2.2081141192LSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:15M. Taranko1.917860T. Hanke1.801111113LSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113LSep 6 · 05:45T. Hanke2.001191061L. Stoces1.7391112113LSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181WSep 5 · 19:30T. Hanke1.73117116113O. Chadima2.0071181172LSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113
P. Abraham10
LSep 10 · 16:59P. Abraham2.109480T. Hanke1.671111113WSep 10 · 15:00M. Soukup1.73111121162P. Abraham2.00137113113WSep 10 · 13:30T. Bertho1.5311410101P. Abraham2.3871112123WAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103LAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122WAug 30 · 15:00P. Abraham2.631112113J. Hanacek1.4451030WAug 30 · 14:00P. Abraham1.3611101211113A. Dvoracek3.0051214882WAug 26 · 17:00J. Marhol1.83119581P. Abraham1.8351111113WAug 26 · 16:00P. Abraham1.91114117113J. Marhol1.8061141132WAug 26 · 14:30V. Toman1.677111291P. Abraham2.10111310113
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