TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13110656
Played Sep 10Finished
Petr Abraham
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911411811––––
Tomas Hanke
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingPetr Abraham above · Tomas Hanke below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11
54 points played in total.
H2H Petr Abraham 12–13 Tomas Hanke Petr Abraham has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Hanke beat Abraham 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hanke)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Abraham form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAbraham 2.10 / Hanke 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hanke)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13110656
Abraham2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 24 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back15% 8 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Hanke1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 72 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 52 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAbraham6wins
AwayHanke4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderAbraham leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAbraham100%5 of 5
AwayHanke80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Abraham5Hanke5n = 10split evenly
S2Abraham3Hanke7n = 10Hanke took 7 of 10
S3Abraham8Hanke2n = 10Abraham took 8 of 10
S4Abraham3Hanke5n = 8Hanke took 5 of 8
S5Abraham3Hanke1n = 4Abraham took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAbrahamHankeA − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.438.3+1.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAbrahamHankeBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 417 vs 269 / 50550.6%53.3%211 / 417 vs 269 / 505Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HankeAbraham 2.10/Hanke 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hanke · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hanke won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 16:00P. Abraham—8570T. Hanke—1111113
WMay 29 · 14:30P. Abraham—1111113T. Hanke—5680
WJan 18 · 15:00P. Abraham—11114113T. Hanke—631171
WJan 17 · 08:30P. Abraham—961211113T. Hanke—111110692
LNov 16 · 07:45P. Abraham—991131T. Hanke—11117103
WSep 18 · 15:55P. Abraham—116118113T. Hanke—61171142
WAug 23 · 13:45P. Abraham—11811143T. Hanke—4119121
LAug 11 · 14:30P. Abraham—8111112152T. Hanke—117814173
LAug 8 · 16:24P. Abraham—961151T. Hanke—11119113
WAug 8 · 14:15P. Abraham—113118113T. Hanke—81151192
P. Abraham10
LSep 10 · 16:00T. Hanke1.731111113P. Abraham2.008570WSep 10 · 15:00M. Soukup1.73111121162P. Abraham2.00137113113WSep 10 · 13:30T. Bertho1.5311410101P. Abraham2.3871112123WAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103LAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122WAug 30 · 15:00P. Abraham2.631112113J. Hanacek1.4451030WAug 30 · 14:00P. Abraham1.3611101211113A. Dvoracek3.0051214882WAug 26 · 17:00J. Marhol1.83119581P. Abraham1.8351111113WAug 26 · 16:00P. Abraham1.91114117113J. Marhol1.8061141132WAug 26 · 14:30V. Toman1.677111291P. Abraham2.10111310113
T. Hanke10
WSep 10 · 16:00T. Hanke1.731111113P. Abraham2.008570WSep 10 · 14:30T. Bertho1.91611101162T. Hanke1.80119126113LSep 10 · 14:00M. Soukup1.61116113113T. Hanke2.2081141192LSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:15M. Taranko1.917860T. Hanke1.801111113LSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113LSep 6 · 05:45T. Hanke2.001191061L. Stoces1.7391112113LSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181WSep 5 · 19:30T. Hanke1.73117116113O. Chadima2.0071181172LSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113
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