TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131324
Played Sep 15Finished
Petr Abraham
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214411611––––
Milos Soukup
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Abraham to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Abraham above · Milos Soukup below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 58 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Petr Abraham at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Petr Abraham 1–0 Milos Soukup Milos Soukup has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:48What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Soukup
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Abraham 1517 vs Soukup 1450
Abraham
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Abraham 60% vs Soukup 40%
Abraham
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Abraham 70% vs Soukup 40%
Abraham
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Abraham +1 · Soukup +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Soukup) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Soukup form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAbraham 2.20 / Soukup 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Soukup)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13131324
Abraham2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 21 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back16% 8 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Soukup1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 14 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it71% 10 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeAbraham1wins
AwaySoukup0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderAbraham leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricAbrahamSoukupA − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.041.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAbrahamSoukupBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 407 vs 31 / 7251.1%43.1%208 / 407 vs 31 / 72Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SoukupAbraham 2.20/Soukup 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Soukup · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Soukup won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 10 · 15:00P. Abraham45137113113M. Soukup41111121162
P. Abraham10
WSep 15 · 13:30P. Abraham2.0071311133T. Stejskal1.7311119111LSep 10 · 16:59P. Abraham2.109480T. Hanke1.671111113LSep 10 · 16:00T. Hanke1.731111113P. Abraham2.008570WSep 10 · 15:00M. Soukup1.73111121162P. Abraham2.00137113113WSep 10 · 13:30T. Bertho1.5311410101P. Abraham2.3871112123WAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103LAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122WAug 30 · 15:00P. Abraham2.631112113J. Hanacek1.4451030WAug 30 · 14:00P. Abraham1.3611101211113A. Dvoracek3.0051214882WAug 26 · 17:00J. Marhol1.83119581P. Abraham1.8351111113
M. Soukup10
WSep 15 · 14:00L. Tuma1.9141141122M. Soukup1.80115119113LSep 10 · 16:29M. Soukup2.10111211462T. Bertho1.67614611113LSep 10 · 15:30T. Bertho2.3811911143M. Soukup1.537115121LSep 10 · 15:00M. Soukup1.73111121162P. Abraham2.00137113113WSep 10 · 14:00M. Soukup1.61116113113T. Hanke2.2081141192WAug 27 · 16:23M. Soukup1.571013711113T. Hanke2.25121111552LAug 27 · 15:45M. Soukup2.101011111182Z. Kuksa1.67121388113WAug 27 · 14:15T. Hanke1.913550M. Soukup1.801111113LAug 27 · 13:45O. Horak1.91111197113M. Soukup1.8079111172LAug 20 · 16:29M. Soukup2.00713811132Z. Kuksa1.731111117153
Upcoming Matches
P. Abraham
Nothing scheduled
M. Soukup
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