TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131382
Played Sep 15Finished
Ladislav Tuma
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119116––––
Tomas Stejskal
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Tuma to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Tuma above · Tomas Stejskal below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 56 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Ladislav Tuma at 64.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Tuma 23–14 Tomas Stejskal Tomas Stejskal has won 14 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:47What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Tuma
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-14 in 37
Tuma
Correct
gap of 9 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1490 vs Stejskal 1427
Tuma
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 60% vs Stejskal 0%
Tuma
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 60% vs Stejskal 30%
Tuma
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma -1 · Stejskal -5
Stejskal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Tuma)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stejskal form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 1.53 / Stejskal 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Tuma)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13131382
Tuma1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 58 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it89% 46 of 52
Stejskal2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 14 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back21% 4 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuma6wins
AwayStejskal4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderTuma leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma100%4 of 4
AwayStejskal66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma4Stejskal6n = 10Stejskal took 6 of 10
S2Tuma5Stejskal5n = 10split evenly
S3Tuma7Stejskal3n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S4Tuma4Stejskal4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTumaStejskalT − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.736.1+2.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaStejskalBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 474 vs 100 / 21850.4%45.9%239 / 474 vs 100 / 218Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaTuma 1.53/Stejskal 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 30 · 13:15L. Tuma4211911113T. Stejskal34911681
WJun 21 · 20:29L. Tuma43111110113T. Stejskal30871231
LJun 21 · 19:30L. Tuma31561191T. Stejskal3811115113
WJun 9 · 14:00L. Tuma4111712113T. Stejskal389111081
LMay 19 · 20:34L. Tuma30651181T. Stejskal3911116113
WMay 19 · 19:30L. Tuma4281112113T. Stejskal341161071
LApr 6 · 19:15L. Tuma36911881T. Stejskal4211911113
WMar 6 · 18:19L. Tuma31111193T. Stejskal163940
WMar 6 · 17:00L. Tuma5911111214113T. Stejskal51136101662
LJan 3 · 08:30L. Tuma32131180T. Stejskal391513113
L. Tuma10
WSep 15 · 15:30P. Abraham2.101154111L. Tuma1.6791111133LSep 15 · 14:00L. Tuma1.9141141122M. Soukup1.80115119113WSep 14 · 17:10L. Tuma1.401111113J. Blazek2.755880WSep 14 · 16:00L. Tuma1.73741211113J. Hanacek2.00111110742LSep 14 · 14:30J. Blazek3.0011118113L. Tuma1.36461151WSep 14 · 14:00E. Ondracek1.737650L. Tuma2.001111113WSep 4 · 16:58K. Jirousek2.1010880L. Tuma1.671211113WSep 4 · 15:30F. Husek2.0081191192L. Tuma1.73119115113WSep 4 · 15:00L. Tuma1.911111113K. Jirousek1.809950LSep 4 · 14:00L. Tuma1.57101111922P. Kotrbacek2.25127811113
T. Stejskal10
LSep 15 · 13:30P. Abraham2.0071311133T. Stejskal1.7311119111LSep 10 · 20:58J. Pina1.61511117113T. Stejskal2.2011751162LSep 10 · 20:00T. Stejskal1.57561141J. Pina2.2511118113LSep 10 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer1.67101111113T. Stejskal2.10129581LSep 10 · 18:00M. Drabek3.0021311113T. Stejskal1.361111941WAug 31 · 20:38M. Vana1.531181061T. Stejskal2.3871112113LAug 31 · 19:30T. Stejskal2.2031181162M. Vana1.61116119113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460WAug 31 · 17:30T. Stejskal2.20111013113L. Hendrych1.618121161LAug 24 · 12:23T. Stejskal1.3011101081J. Jnr3.4081212113
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