TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Frantisek Schmidtmayer
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911511119113611
Ladislav Tuma
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Schmidtmayer to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Schmidtmayer above · Ladislav Tuma below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 87 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Frantisek Schmidtmayer at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Schmidtmayer 5–3 Ladislav Tuma Ladislav Tuma has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:56What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Schmidtmayer
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Schmidtmayer
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schmidtmayer 1414 vs Tuma 1479
Tuma
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schmidtmayer 60% vs Tuma 40%
Schmidtmayer
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schmidtmayer 60% vs Tuma 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schmidtmayer +1 · Tuma -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Schmidtmayer)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchmidtmayer 1.67 / Tuma 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Schmidtmayer)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13161762
Schmidtmayer1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 63 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it72% 46 of 64
Tuma2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 35 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSchmidtmayer5wins
AwayTuma3wins
3 of 8 to a deciderSchmidtmayer leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchmidtmayer71.4%5 of 7
AwayTuman = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schmidtmayer7Tuma1n = 8Schmidtmayer took 7 of 8
S2Schmidtmayer1Tuma7n = 8Tuma took 7 of 8
S3Schmidtmayer5Tuma3n = 8Schmidtmayer took 5 of 8
S4Schmidtmayer4Tuma3n = 7Schmidtmayer took 4 of 7
S5Schmidtmayer2Tuma1n = 3Schmidtmayer took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricSchmidtmayerTumaS − TBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set71+6of 8Avg pointsper match43.640.8+2.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchmidtmayerTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 440 vs 240 / 47446.1%50.6%203 / 440 vs 240 / 474Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchmidtmayerSchmidtmayer 1.67/Tuma 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Schmidtmayer · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 23 · 20:14F. Schmidtmayer321165101L. Tuma4281111123
WAug 23 · 19:15F. Schmidtmayer46111311113L. Tuma39915871
LJul 30 · 16:34F. Schmidtmayer51111111992L. Tuma49513911113
LJul 30 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer3871011101L. Tuma3811123123
WJul 23 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer581314911113L. Tuma55111611892
WJun 18 · 20:30F. Schmidtmayer481110412113L. Tuma46612111072
WJun 18 · 19:30F. Schmidtmayer4311615113L. Tuma358111331
WMay 8 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer331111113L. Tuma228680
F. Schmidtmayer10
LSep 20 · 19:15F. Schmidtmayer1.91931271K. Farsky1.80111110113WSep 20 · 17:15F. Schmidtmayer1.83111110113J. Hanacek1.83741281LSep 15 · 20:39J. Hanacek2.2081111113F. Schmidtmayer1.61115681WSep 15 · 19:30F. Schmidtmayer1.8011119113J. Hanacek1.91891191LSep 15 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer2.0081171172A. Dvoracek1.73118113113WSep 15 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer2.251111113M. Barton1.579660WSep 11 · 12:39F. Schmidtmayer1.4481111113M. Melisek2.63119741WSep 11 · 11:30M. Melisek2.38117791F. Schmidtmayer1.5381111113LSep 11 · 11:00F. Schmidtmayer2.0094110A. Dvoracek1.731111133LSep 11 · 10:00F. Schmidtmayer1.61811101132J. Hanacek2.20119126113
L. Tuma10
LSep 20 · 17:45K. Farsky1.531111113L. Tuma2.389590LSep 15 · 17:04M. Soukup1.671111113L. Tuma2.104960WSep 15 · 15:30P. Abraham2.101154111L. Tuma1.6791111133WSep 15 · 15:00L. Tuma1.531111113T. Stejskal2.388960LSep 15 · 14:00L. Tuma1.9141141122M. Soukup1.80115119113WSep 14 · 17:10L. Tuma1.401111113J. Blazek2.755880WSep 14 · 16:00L. Tuma1.73741211113J. Hanacek2.00111110742LSep 14 · 14:30J. Blazek3.0011118113L. Tuma1.36461151WSep 14 · 14:00E. Ondracek1.737650L. Tuma2.001111113WSep 4 · 16:58K. Jirousek2.1010880L. Tuma1.671211113
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