TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Ladislav Tuma
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
151312101111012211
Frantisek Schmidtmayer
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingLadislav Tuma above · Frantisek Schmidtmayer below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 1-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 97 set 5, 2-11
97 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Tuma 4–5 Frantisek Schmidtmayer Ladislav Tuma has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Tuma beat Schmidtmayer 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Schmidtmayer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schmidtmayer form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 2.10 / Schmidtmayer 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Schmidtmayer)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13166420
Tuma2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 35 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Schmidtmayer1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 63 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it72% 46 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeTuma4wins
AwaySchmidtmayer5wins
4 of 9 to a deciderSchmidtmayer leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuman = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySchmidtmayer71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma2Schmidtmayer7n = 9Schmidtmayer took 7 of 9
S2Tuma8Schmidtmayer1n = 9Tuma took 8 of 9
S3Tuma3Schmidtmayer6n = 9Schmidtmayer took 6 of 9
S4Tuma3Schmidtmayer5n = 8Schmidtmayer took 5 of 8
S5Tuma2Schmidtmayer2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricTumaSchmidtmayerT − SBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match41.243.4−2.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaSchmidtmayerBasisWin rate · lifetime241 / 476 vs 203 / 44250.6%45.9%241 / 476 vs 203 / 442Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchmidtmayerTuma 2.10/Schmidtmayer 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Schmidtmayer · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Schmidtmayer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 20 · 18:15L. Tuma45111193113F. Schmidtmayer4295111162
WAug 23 · 20:14L. Tuma4281111123F. Schmidtmayer321165101
LAug 23 · 19:15L. Tuma39915871F. Schmidtmayer46111311113
WJul 30 · 16:34L. Tuma49513911113F. Schmidtmayer51111111992
WJul 30 · 15:30L. Tuma3811123123F. Schmidtmayer3871011101
LJul 23 · 14:30L. Tuma55111611892F. Schmidtmayer581314911113
LJun 18 · 20:30L. Tuma46612111072F. Schmidtmayer481110412113
LJun 18 · 19:30L. Tuma358111331F. Schmidtmayer4311615113
LMay 8 · 15:30L. Tuma228680F. Schmidtmayer331111113
L. Tuma10
LSep 20 · 19:45L. Tuma1.67511851J. Hanacek2.1011811113WSep 20 · 18:15F. Schmidtmayer1.6795111162L. Tuma2.10111193113LSep 20 · 17:45K. Farsky1.531111113L. Tuma2.389590LSep 15 · 17:04M. Soukup1.671111113L. Tuma2.104960WSep 15 · 15:30P. Abraham2.101154111L. Tuma1.6791111133WSep 15 · 15:00L. Tuma1.531111113T. Stejskal2.388960LSep 15 · 14:00L. Tuma1.9141141122M. Soukup1.80115119113WSep 14 · 17:10L. Tuma1.401111113J. Blazek2.755880WSep 14 · 16:00L. Tuma1.73741211113J. Hanacek2.00111110742LSep 14 · 14:30J. Blazek3.0011118113L. Tuma1.36461151
F. Schmidtmayer10
LSep 20 · 19:15F. Schmidtmayer1.91931271K. Farsky1.80111110113LSep 20 · 18:15F. Schmidtmayer1.6795111162L. Tuma2.10111193113WSep 20 · 17:15F. Schmidtmayer1.83111110113J. Hanacek1.83741281LSep 15 · 20:39J. Hanacek2.2081111113F. Schmidtmayer1.61115681WSep 15 · 19:30F. Schmidtmayer1.8011119113J. Hanacek1.91891191LSep 15 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer2.0081171172A. Dvoracek1.73118113113WSep 15 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer2.251111113M. Barton1.579660WSep 11 · 12:39F. Schmidtmayer1.4481111113M. Melisek2.63119741WSep 11 · 11:30M. Melisek2.38117791F. Schmidtmayer1.5381111113LSep 11 · 11:00F. Schmidtmayer2.0094110A. Dvoracek1.731111133
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.