TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Josef Hanacek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1161012811115911
Karel Farsky
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJosef Hanacek above · Karel Farsky below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 94 set 5, 9-11
94 points played in total.
H2H Josef Hanacek 2–1 Karel Farsky Karel Farsky has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Hanacek beat Farsky 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hanacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanacek 1.80 / Farsky 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hanacek)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13166533
Hanacek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 63 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it82% 42 of 51
Farsky1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog41% won 26 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back30% 11 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHanacek2wins
AwayFarsky1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderHanacek leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanacek1Farsky2n = 3Farsky took 2 of 3
S2Hanacek3Farsky0n = 3Hanacek took 3 of 3
S3Hanacek1Farsky2n = 3Farsky took 2 of 3
S4Hanacek2Farsky1n = 3Hanacek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricHanacekFarskyH − FBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match42.343.3−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanacekFarskyBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 462 vs 169 / 34751.1%48.7%236 / 462 vs 169 / 347Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HanacekHanacek 1.80/Farsky 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hanacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Farsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 20 · 18:45J. Hanacek45511711113K. Farsky3911211962
WAug 21 · 11:00J. Hanacek47111114113K. Farsky39881671
LJun 14 · 19:15J. Hanacek3541112442K. Farsky521191011113
J. Hanacek10
WSep 20 · 19:45L. Tuma1.67511851J. Hanacek2.1011811113WSep 20 · 18:45K. Farsky1.8311211962J. Hanacek1.83511711113LSep 20 · 17:15F. Schmidtmayer1.83111110113J. Hanacek1.83741281WSep 19 · 17:08L. Krutina1.83681161J. Hanacek1.8311118113WSep 19 · 15:30J. Seeman2.105111471J. Hanacek1.6711816113LSep 19 · 15:00J. Hanacek2.207111251L. Krutina1.611171493WSep 19 · 14:00J. Hanacek1.6779111183M. Melisek2.1011116862LSep 17 · 08:58A. Dvoracek1.8311611113J. Hanacek1.83711881WSep 17 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.0011129143A. Dvoracek1.7351011121LSep 17 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8361111143J. Hanacek1.831188121
K. Farsky10
WSep 20 · 19:15F. Schmidtmayer1.91931271K. Farsky1.80111110113LSep 20 · 18:45K. Farsky1.8311211962J. Hanacek1.83511711113WSep 20 · 17:45K. Farsky1.531111113L. Tuma2.389590WSep 12 · 08:28M. Vorel2.50101111882K. Farsky1.50129711113LSep 12 · 07:30K. Jirousek1.6711116133K. Farsky2.109511111WSep 12 · 07:00K. Farsky1.61119116113A. Dvoracek2.2091131172WSep 12 · 06:00K. Farsky1.611216113M. Vorel2.20101450WSep 6 · 20:33A. Dvoracek1.807860K. Farsky1.911111113LSep 6 · 19:30J. Pina2.10711511143K. Farsky1.67116117122LSep 6 · 19:00K. Farsky1.831159111K. Jirousek1.8371111133
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