TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Karel Jirousek vs Josef Hanacek 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711811117411––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeKarel Jirousek to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKarel Jirousek above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 70 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Karel Jirousek at 55.3%
70 points played in total.
H2H Karel Jirousek 13–15 Josef Hanacek Karel Jirousek has won 13 of their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:19What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jirousek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-15 in 28
Hanacek
Correct
gap of 2 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jirousek 1494 vs Hanacek 1418
Jirousek
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jirousek 100% vs Hanacek 60%
Jirousek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jirousek 80% vs Hanacek 60%
Jirousek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jirousek +7 · Hanacek -1
Jirousek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Jirousek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jirousek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJirousek 1.80 / Hanacek 1.91
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Jirousek)+3.8pp
Setka Cup · #13191461
Jirousek1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 8 days ago (Sep 17) · back after a break
Won last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 33 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it71% 25 of 35
Hanacek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 20)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 59 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back32% 21 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJirousek5wins
AwayHanacek5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJirousek66.7%4 of 6
AwayHanacek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jirousek6Hanacek4n = 10Jirousek took 6 of 10
S2Jirousek5Hanacek5n = 10split evenly
S3Jirousek6Hanacek4n = 10Jirousek took 6 of 10
S4Jirousek6Hanacek3n = 9Jirousek took 6 of 9
S5Jirousek1Hanacek4n = 5Hanacek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJirousekHanacekJ − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.042.8+0.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJirousekHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 439 vs 236 / 46351.7%51%227 / 439 vs 236 / 463Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JirousekJirousek 1.80/Hanacek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Jirousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hanacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 06:30K. Jirousek4261111143J. Hanacek391188121
WAug 9 · 09:03K. Jirousek4513811133J. Hanacek3711114111
WAug 9 · 06:00K. Jirousek4111117123J. Hanacek316411101
LAug 4 · 17:14K. Jirousek426171181J. Hanacek5011199113
WAug 4 · 13:30K. Jirousek331111113J. Hanacek228950
LAug 1 · 19:45K. Jirousek4311681172J. Hanacek50811119113
LJun 12 · 05:45K. Jirousek4061341162J. Hanacek521111118113
WJun 9 · 08:39K. Jirousek501261110113J. Hanacek43101171232
LJun 9 · 07:00K. Jirousek4011113962J. Hanacek49791111113
LMay 28 · 17:30K. Jirousek54891113132J. Hanacek551111711153
K. Jirousek10
WSep 17 · 08:28M. Vorel2.251011117152K. Jirousek1.57124611173WSep 17 · 07:30K. Jirousek1.7313811113M. Vorel2.001111781WSep 17 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8361111143J. Hanacek1.831188121WSep 17 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.6731112113A. Dvoracek2.101171081WSep 12 · 09:00A. Dvoracek1.57116781K. Jirousek2.2591111113WSep 12 · 07:30K. Jirousek1.6711116133K. Farsky2.109511111WSep 12 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8371111143M. Vorel1.831168121LSep 12 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.7311119662A. Dvoracek2.00841111113WSep 11 · 20:24K. Jirousek2.50111111113J. Botka1.50613491LSep 11 · 19:15J. Botka1.30111177113K. Jirousek3.4057111162
J. Hanacek10
LSep 25 · 18:30J. Pina1.61101111103J. Hanacek2.20124791LSep 20 · 20:44J. Hanacek1.80111081192K. Farsky1.91612115113WSep 20 · 19:45L. Tuma1.67511851J. Hanacek2.1011811113WSep 20 · 18:45K. Farsky1.8311211962J. Hanacek1.83511711113LSep 20 · 17:15F. Schmidtmayer1.83111110113J. Hanacek1.83741281WSep 19 · 17:08L. Krutina1.83681161J. Hanacek1.8311118113WSep 19 · 15:30J. Seeman2.105111471J. Hanacek1.6711816113LSep 19 · 15:00J. Hanacek2.207111251L. Krutina1.611171493WSep 19 · 14:00J. Hanacek1.6779111183M. Melisek2.1011116862LSep 17 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8361111143J. Hanacek1.831188121
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