TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13145292
Played Sep 17Finished
Martin Vorel
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121141167111517
Karel Jirousek
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
How it is goingMartin Vorel above · Karel Jirousek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 15-17
Point 104 set 5, 15-17
104 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vorel 13–17 Karel Jirousek Martin Vorel has won 13 of their 30 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Jirousek beat Vorel 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Jirousek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jirousek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorel 2.25 / Jirousek 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Jirousek)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13145292
Vorel2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog51% won 70 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back31% 22 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Jirousek1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite44% won 32 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it68% 25 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorel3wins
AwayJirousek7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJirousek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorel50%2 of 4
AwayJirousek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorel4Jirousek6n = 10Jirousek took 6 of 10
S2Vorel5Jirousek5n = 10split evenly
S3Vorel5Jirousek5n = 10split evenly
S4Vorel3Jirousek7n = 10Jirousek took 7 of 10
S5Vorel1Jirousek2n = 3Jirousek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorelJirousekV − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.542.3−3.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorelJirousekBasisWin rate · lifetime406 / 789 vs 230 / 44551.5%51.7%406 / 789 vs 230 / 445Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.240.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JirousekVorel 2.25/Jirousek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Jirousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jirousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 07:30M. Vorel371111781K. Jirousek4313811113
LSep 12 · 06:30M. Vorel371168121K. Jirousek4371111143
WAug 18 · 08:30M. Vorel4212118113K. Jirousek351051191
LAug 18 · 06:30M. Vorel35911781K. Jirousek4011711113
LJul 4 · 12:23M. Vorel36911791K. Jirousek3711411113
LJul 4 · 09:45M. Vorel3411511342K. Jirousek48611911113
WApr 15 · 11:30M. Vorel4115411113K. Jirousek371311581
WMar 23 · 14:03M. Vorel50911116133K. Jirousek48116911112
LMar 23 · 12:00M. Vorel4387111162K. Jirousek48111196113
LMar 22 · 21:00M. Vorel30751351K. Jirousek44111111113
M. Vorel10
LSep 17 · 07:30K. Jirousek1.7313811113M. Vorel2.001111781WSep 17 · 07:00M. Vorel2.0011119113A. Dvoracek1.73661161WSep 17 · 06:00M. Vorel2.50118137113J. Hanacek1.50611111172LSep 16 · 12:59A. Dvoracek1.7311911113M. Vorel2.00611891WSep 16 · 12:00M. Vorel1.9111911113A. Dvoracek1.80611671LSep 16 · 10:30M. Hasman2.001022811113M. Vorel1.73122011722WSep 16 · 10:00M. Melisek2.10511591M. Vorel1.6711511113WSep 14 · 08:33M. Vorel1.9111411113J. Mejzlik1.80811731LSep 14 · 08:00M. Vorel1.9111101291A. Dvoracek1.8051214113LSep 14 · 06:30J. Mejzlik1.83813811113M. Vorel1.83111111462
K. Jirousek10
WSep 17 · 07:30K. Jirousek1.7313811113M. Vorel2.001111781WSep 17 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8361111143J. Hanacek1.831188121WSep 17 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.6731112113A. Dvoracek2.101171081WSep 12 · 09:00A. Dvoracek1.57116781K. Jirousek2.2591111113WSep 12 · 07:30K. Jirousek1.6711116133K. Farsky2.109511111WSep 12 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8371111143M. Vorel1.831168121LSep 12 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.7311119662A. Dvoracek2.00841111113WSep 11 · 20:24K. Jirousek2.50111111113J. Botka1.50613491LSep 11 · 19:15J. Botka1.30111177113K. Jirousek3.4057111162LSep 11 · 18:45K. Jirousek1.917670T. Bertho1.801111113
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