TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136462
Played Sep 16Finished
Michael Hasman
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10122220811117112
Martin Vorel
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Vorel to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichael Hasman above · Martin Vorel below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 22-20
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 114 set 5, 11-2 — our read held Martin Vorel at 54.0%
114 points played in total.
H2H Michael Hasman 2–2 Martin Vorel Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:27What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vorel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hasman 1483 vs Vorel 1365
Hasman
Correct
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasman 40% vs Vorel 60%
Vorel
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasman 60% vs Vorel 30%
Hasman
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasman -2 · Vorel +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vorel)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasman 2.00 / Vorel 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vorel)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13136462
Hasman2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 22 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Vorel1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 98 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it88% 42 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it77% 73 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHasman2wins
AwayVorel2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hasman2Vorel2n = 4split evenly
S2Hasman2Vorel2n = 4split evenly
S3Hasman2Vorel2n = 4split evenly
S4Hasman1Vorel2n = 3Vorel took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricHasmanVorelH − VBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match39.837.0+2.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmanVorelBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 122 vs 405 / 78655.7%51.5%68 / 122 vs 405 / 786Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorelHasman 2.00/Vorel 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vorel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hasman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 16 · 10:30M. Hasman621022811113M. Vorel52122011722
LSep 9 · 06:15M. Hasman33691171M. Vorel3911116113
WAug 18 · 08:00M. Hasman331111113M. Vorel176560
LJun 18 · 07:00M. Hasman31118751M. Vorel4071111113
M. Hasman10
LSep 16 · 09:30M. Hasman1.5359111172A. Dvoracek2.38111166113LSep 9 · 08:18A. Dvoracek2.7511715113M. Hasman1.409111331WSep 9 · 07:15M. Hasman2.0011411113T. Bertho1.73711971LSep 9 · 06:15M. Hasman1.73691171M. Vorel2.0011116113WSep 9 · 05:15M. Hasman1.501113113A. Dvoracek2.5061170LAug 18 · 09:00M. Hasman1.6765111182J. Marhol2.10111195113WAug 18 · 08:00M. Vorel1.616560M. Hasman2.201111113WAug 18 · 07:00J. Marhol1.67651181M. Hasman2.1011116113WAug 18 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.5058121162M. Hasman2.501111107113WAug 11 · 13:03J. Jnr1.5713740M. Hasman2.251511113
M. Vorel10
WSep 16 · 10:00M. Melisek2.10511591M. Vorel1.6711511113WSep 14 · 08:33M. Vorel1.9111411113J. Mejzlik1.80811731LSep 14 · 08:00M. Vorel1.9111101291A. Dvoracek1.8051214113LSep 14 · 06:30J. Mejzlik1.83813811113M. Vorel1.83111111462WSep 14 · 06:00O. Plyska2.10712761M. Vorel1.67111011113LSep 12 · 08:28M. Vorel2.50101111882K. Farsky1.50129711113LSep 12 · 08:00M. Vorel1.809880A. Dvoracek1.911111113LSep 12 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8371111143M. Vorel1.831168121WSep 9 · 06:15M. Hasman1.73691171M. Vorel2.0011116113LAug 18 · 08:00M. Vorel1.616560M. Hasman2.201111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Hasman
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M. Vorel
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