TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Viacheslav Simchuk vs Evgenii Bakin 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Viacheslav Simchuk
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117117––––
Evgenii Bakin
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeViacheslav Simchuk to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViacheslav Simchuk above · Evgenii Bakin below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Viacheslav Simchuk at 58.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Viacheslav Simchuk 2–2 Evgenii Bakin Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:28What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Simchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Simchuk 1461 vs Bakin 1196
Simchuk
Correct
both rated, 265 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Simchuk 100% vs Bakin 20%
Simchuk
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Simchuk 100% vs Bakin 20%
Simchuk
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Simchuk +10 · Bakin -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Simchuk) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bakin form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimchuk 1.50 / Bakin 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Simchuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13179904
Simchuk1.50
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 10
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 102 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it98% 52 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it94% 74 of 79
Bakin2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog17% won 3 of 18
Down 0–1, comes back9% 1 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSimchuk2wins
AwayBakin2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSimchukn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBakin50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Simchuk0Bakin4n = 4Bakin took 4 of 4
S2Simchuk0Bakin4n = 4Bakin took 4 of 4
S3Simchuk3Bakin1n = 4Simchuk took 3 of 4
S4Simchuk2Bakin1n = 3Simchuk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricSimchukBakinS − BBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match39.839.80.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimchukBakinBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 457 vs 61 / 11461.3%53.5%280 / 457 vs 61 / 114Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.334.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimchukSimchuk 1.50/Bakin 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Simchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Simchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WMay 19 · 07:30V. Simchuk49971111113E. Bakin4411119672
WMar 14 · 09:00V. Simchuk529101111113E. Bakin4111128372
LJan 19 · 10:56V. Simchuk33881161E. Bakin3711114113
LJan 19 · 06:30V. Simchuk25310120E. Bakin371112143
V. Simchuk10
WSep 23 · 07:00V. Simchuk1.6191111113V. Kurliuk2.20119561WSep 23 · 06:00V. Simchuk2.3891111113M. Pohorilyi1.53118881WSep 17 · 10:28V. Simchuk1.5711911113S. Honcharenko2.25411491WSep 17 · 08:30S. Honcharenko2.1011860V. Simchuk1.671311113WSep 17 · 07:30V. Simchuk1.401111113M. Zavoloka2.756840WSep 17 · 06:30V. Kurliuk2.10511891V. Simchuk1.6711711113WSep 17 · 05:30V. Simchuk1.361311113V. Matviichuk3.0011570WSep 16 · 10:29V. Simchuk1.441111113Y. Zvolynskyi2.637690WSep 16 · 09:00V. Simchuk1.7321111113S. Honcharenko2.00116681WSep 16 · 08:00O. Badanin4.33541151V. Simchuk1.2011116113
E. Bakin10
LSep 23 · 07:30E. Bakin4.506430M. Pohorilyi1.171111113LSep 23 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.8311127113E. Bakin1.838101171LSep 23 · 05:30E. Bakin1.801110591V. Kurliuk1.9191211113LSep 21 · 10:03E. Bakin2.2521381122Y. Zvolynskyi1.571111115113WSep 21 · 09:00E. Bakin1.25611117113A. Lysyi3.7511761162LSep 21 · 08:00I. Sorochan1.731111113E. Bakin2.007720LSep 21 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.617111411113E. Bakin2.2011816882WSep 21 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi3.0012671162E. Bakin1.361011116113LSep 14 · 10:38E. Bakin1.91311100O. Badanin1.801113123LSep 14 · 09:00E. Bakin1.30671171O. Shvydkyi3.4011114113
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