TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13139783
Played Sep 16Finished
Viacheslav Simchuk
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116119––––
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingViacheslav Simchuk above · Yurii Zvolynskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 55 set 3, 11-9
55 points played in total.
H2H Viacheslav Simchuk 85–39 Yurii Zvolynskyi Yurii Zvolynskyi has won 39 of their 124 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Zvolynskyi beat Simchuk 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Simchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zvolynskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimchuk 1.44 / Zvolynskyi 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Simchuk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13139783
Simchuk1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite72% won 101 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it98% 51 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it92% 72 of 78
Zvolynskyi2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog29% won 38 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back13% 11 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSimchuk7wins
AwayZvolynskyi3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSimchuk leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSimchuk100%5 of 5
AwayZvolynskyi60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Simchuk5Zvolynskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Simchuk7Zvolynskyi3n = 10Simchuk took 7 of 10
S3Simchuk8Zvolynskyi2n = 10Simchuk took 8 of 10
S4Simchuk5Zvolynskyi2n = 7Simchuk took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSimchukZvolynskyiS − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.731.8+5.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimchukZvolynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 459 vs 309 / 58260.1%53.1%276 / 459 vs 309 / 582Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimchukSimchuk 1.44/Zvolynskyi 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Simchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Simchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 07:00V. Simchuk33911581Y. Zvolynskyi3911611113
WSep 10 · 16:00V. Simchuk43111011113Y. Zvolynskyi35612891
LAug 30 · 14:30V. Simchuk4265111192Y. Zvolynskyi47111178103
WAug 24 · 16:30V. Simchuk331111113Y. Zvolynskyi175570
WAug 23 · 15:00V. Simchuk3961111113Y. Zvolynskyi31115961
LAug 17 · 14:30V. Simchuk36951481Y. Zvolynskyi45111112113
WAug 11 · 07:00V. Simchuk341211113Y. Zvolynskyi2410950
WAug 5 · 10:29V. Simchuk341111123Y. Zvolynskyi2376100
WAug 5 · 07:00V. Simchuk43111110113Y. Zvolynskyi27281251
WJul 30 · 07:00V. Simchuk4071111113Y. Zvolynskyi30117391
V. Simchuk10
WSep 16 · 09:00V. Simchuk1.7321111113S. Honcharenko2.00116681WSep 16 · 08:00O. Badanin4.33541151V. Simchuk1.2011116113LSep 16 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi3.2511611113V. Simchuk1.33911581LSep 16 · 05:30M. Zavoloka3.00111196123V. Simchuk1.36861111102WSep 11 · 08:30N. Priadko2.2551181442V. Simchuk1.57119111263LSep 11 · 07:30V. Simchuk1.67811561S. Honcharenko2.1011311113LSep 11 · 06:30M. Pohorilyi1.53129122113V. Simchuk2.381011101192LSep 11 · 05:30V. Simchuk2.63851171S. Sideltsev1.4411118113LSep 10 · 17:33V. Simchuk2.359111031M. Pohorilyi1.5211712113WSep 10 · 16:00Y. Zvolynskyi3.40612891V. Simchuk1.30111011113
Y. Zvolynskyi10
WSep 16 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.201111113O. Badanin4.334550WSep 16 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.9111811113M. Zavoloka1.80411661WSep 16 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi3.2511611113V. Simchuk1.33911581WSep 16 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.4011712113S. Honcharenko2.759111091LSep 15 · 10:29P. Shulhachyk1.441111113113Y. Zvolynskyi2.6388131152WSep 15 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.001111153M. Zavoloka1.7388130WSep 15 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111113S. Honcharenko2.503780WSep 15 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251112113V. Matviichuk3.7581040LSep 15 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.507670P. Shulhachyk1.501111113LSep 10 · 16:00Y. Zvolynskyi3.40612891V. Simchuk1.30111011113
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