TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131162
Played Sep 15Finished
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181181513––––
Mykola Zavoloka
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeMykola Zavoloka to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Zvolynskyi above · Mykola Zavoloka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 15-13
Point 66 set 3, 15-13 — our read held Mykola Zavoloka at 58.9%
66 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Zvolynskyi 0–3 Mykola Zavoloka Yurii Zvolynskyi has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:13What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zavoloka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Zavoloka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zvolynskyi 1314 vs Zavoloka 1291
Zvolynskyi
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zvolynskyi 60% vs Zavoloka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zvolynskyi 50% vs Zavoloka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zvolynskyi +2 · Zavoloka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zavoloka) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZvolynskyi 2.00 / Zavoloka 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zavoloka)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13131162
Zvolynskyi2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 37 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back13% 11 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 53
Zavoloka1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 28 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it82% 23 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeZvolynskyi0wins
AwayZavoloka3wins
2 of 3 to a deciderZavoloka leads 3–0, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zvolynskyi1Zavoloka2n = 3Zavoloka took 2 of 3
S2Zvolynskyi2Zavoloka1n = 3Zvolynskyi took 2 of 3
S3Zvolynskyi1Zavoloka2n = 3Zavoloka took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricZvolynskyiZavolokaZvolynskyi − ZavolokaBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match36.740.3−3.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZvolynskyiZavolokaBasisWin rate · lifetime304 / 576 vs 40 / 6552.8%61.5%304 / 576 vs 40 / 65Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaZvolynskyi 2.00/Zavoloka 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zavoloka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zvolynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 9 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi4471111872M. Zavoloka43113711113
LAug 25 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi4511115992M. Zavoloka45391111113
LAug 23 · 14:00Y. Zvolynskyi217950M. Zavoloka331111113
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 15 · 10:29P. Shulhachyk1.441111113113Y. Zvolynskyi2.6388131152WSep 15 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111113S. Honcharenko2.503780WSep 15 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251112113V. Matviichuk3.7581040LSep 15 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.507670P. Shulhachyk1.501111113LSep 10 · 16:00Y. Zvolynskyi3.40612891V. Simchuk1.30111011113WSep 10 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.33311661Y. Zvolynskyi3.2511911113LSep 10 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi1.4411711113Y. Zvolynskyi2.63911731LSep 10 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev1.3613911203Y. Zvolynskyi3.0011119181WSep 9 · 10:33S. Honcharenko2.6381111782Y. Zvolynskyi1.44117311113LSep 9 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.1071111872M. Zavoloka1.67113711113
M. Zavoloka10
WSep 15 · 09:58S. Honcharenko2.3852110M. Zavoloka1.531111133WSep 15 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.501112113V. Matviichuk2.5091070WSep 15 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.831211113S. Honcharenko1.8310980LSep 15 · 05:00M. Zavoloka2.2011721121P. Shulhachyk1.61131119143WSep 9 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.1071111872M. Zavoloka1.67113711113LSep 9 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.5041280S. Honcharenko2.501114113LSep 9 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.8358111182I. Sorochan1.83111189113LSep 9 · 05:00M. Zavoloka1.8061111662V. Kurliuk1.91115911113WSep 8 · 10:33M. Zavoloka1.5714711113S. Honcharenko2.251211491WSep 8 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.25691191M. Zavoloka1.5711113113
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