TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131283
Played Sep 15Finished
Mykola Zavoloka
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191210117––––
Vasyl Matviichuk
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:32 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeMykola Zavoloka to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Zavoloka above · Vasyl Matviichuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 60 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Mykola Zavoloka at 61.3%
60 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Zavoloka 3–5 Vasyl Matviichuk Mykola Zavoloka has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:32What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zavoloka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Matviichuk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zavoloka 1285 vs Matviichuk 1041
Zavoloka
Correct
both rated, 244 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zavoloka 40% vs Matviichuk 20%
Zavoloka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zavoloka 60% vs Matviichuk 30%
Zavoloka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zavoloka +1 · Matviichuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Zavoloka) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matviichuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZavoloka 1.50 / Matviichuk 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Zavoloka)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13131283
Zavoloka1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 28 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it82% 23 of 28
Matviichuk2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 30 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back7% 5 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeZavoloka3wins
AwayMatviichuk5wins
5 of 8 to a deciderMatviichuk leads 5–3, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZavoloka50%2 of 4
AwayMatviichuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zavoloka4Matviichuk4n = 8split evenly
S2Zavoloka4Matviichuk4n = 8split evenly
S3Zavoloka2Matviichuk6n = 8Matviichuk took 6 of 8
S4Zavoloka4Matviichuk3n = 7Zavoloka took 4 of 7
S5Zavoloka2Matviichuk3n = 5Matviichuk took 3 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricZavolokaMatviichukZ − MBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match42.943.5−0.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZavolokaMatviichukBasisWin rate · lifetime39 / 64 vs 285 / 61060.9%46.7%39 / 64 vs 285 / 610Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.235.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaZavoloka 1.50/Matviichuk 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Zavoloka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zavoloka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 8 · 09:00M. Zavoloka3611113113V. Matviichuk35691191
LAug 25 · 09:00M. Zavoloka51111111992V. Matviichuk44133611113
WAug 24 · 09:00M. Zavoloka51911911113V. Matviichuk3511311642
LJul 8 · 09:00M. Zavoloka429111391V. Matviichuk46111311113
WJul 8 · 06:30M. Zavoloka53118911143V. Matviichuk51811119122
LJul 7 · 07:00M. Zavoloka4012541362V. Matviichuk5410111111113
LJun 29 · 10:28M. Zavoloka248790V. Matviichuk331111113
LJun 29 · 07:00M. Zavoloka4611117982V. Matviichuk50981111113
M. Zavoloka10
WSep 15 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.831211113S. Honcharenko1.8310980LSep 15 · 05:00M. Zavoloka2.2011721121P. Shulhachyk1.61131119143WSep 9 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.1071111872M. Zavoloka1.67113711113LSep 9 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.5041280S. Honcharenko2.501114113LSep 9 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.8358111182I. Sorochan1.83111189113LSep 9 · 05:00M. Zavoloka1.8061111662V. Kurliuk1.91115911113WSep 8 · 10:33M. Zavoloka1.5714711113S. Honcharenko2.251211491WSep 8 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.25691191M. Zavoloka1.5711113113WSep 8 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi3.401330M. Zavoloka1.301111113WSep 8 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.739680M. Zavoloka2.001111113
V. Matviichuk10
WSep 15 · 09:00V. Matviichuk4.5011118133P. Shulhachyk1.177611111LSep 15 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251112113V. Matviichuk3.7581040LSep 15 · 05:30S. Honcharenko1.5011116113V. Matviichuk2.50551161WSep 10 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.4011111011133Y. Urezchenko2.75661213112LSep 10 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak3.251111133V. Matviichuk1.3345110LSep 10 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.631211113V. Matviichuk1.4410450LSep 10 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi2.2011129113V. Matviichuk1.614101181WSep 8 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.441111113V. Hyriavyi2.637530LSep 8 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.25691191M. Zavoloka1.5711113113WSep 8 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.753570V. Matviichuk1.401111113
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