TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105613
Played Sep 10Finished
Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141151311––––
Vasyl Matviichuk
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:37 and never touched — 76.4% is still 76.4%
Graded at full timeVasyl Matviichuk to win
76.4%
76.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Khyzhnyak above · Vasyl Matviichuk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 55 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Vasyl Matviichuk at 76.4%
55 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Khyzhnyak 11–15 Vasyl Matviichuk Volodymyr Khyzhnyak has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:37What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Matviichuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-15 in 26
Matviichuk
Wrong
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khyzhnyak 1048 vs Matviichuk 1071
Matviichuk
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khyzhnyak 40% vs Matviichuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khyzhnyak 30% vs Matviichuk 60%
Matviichuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khyzhnyak +1 · Matviichuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Matviichuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matviichuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhyzhnyak 3.25 / Matviichuk 1.33
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Matviichuk)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13105613
Khyzhnyak3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 22 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Matviichuk1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 79 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it82% 63 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhyzhnyak1wins
AwayMatviichuk9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMatviichuk leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhyzhnyak25%1 of 4
AwayMatviichuk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khyzhnyak4Matviichuk6n = 10Matviichuk took 6 of 10
S2Khyzhnyak3Matviichuk7n = 10Matviichuk took 7 of 10
S3Khyzhnyak2Matviichuk8n = 10Matviichuk took 8 of 10
S4Khyzhnyak0Matviichuk7n = 7Matviichuk took 7 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhyzhnyakMatviichukK − MBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.741.1−9.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhyzhnyakMatviichukBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 153 vs 290 / 61332.7%47.3%50 / 153 vs 290 / 613Avg sets wonper match1.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.935.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatviichukKhyzhnyak 3.25/Matviichuk 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.4%
Matviichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Khyzhnyak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak—1011841V. Matviichuk—12911113
LAug 2 · 11:59V. Khyzhnyak—7125111V. Matviichuk—111011133
LJul 21 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak—114591V. Matviichuk—71111113
LJun 9 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak—4910V. Matviichuk—1111113
LMay 22 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak—11711552V. Matviichuk—811811113
WJan 28 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak—1110116113V. Matviichuk—91271182
LJan 10 · 11:11V. Khyzhnyak—10940V. Matviichuk—1211113
LJan 10 · 07:30V. Khyzhnyak—7580V. Matviichuk—1111113
LJul 10 · 14:00V. Khyzhnyak—9121061V. Matviichuk—111012113
LJun 24 · 16:00V. Khyzhnyak—1110981V. Matviichuk—91211113
V. Khyzhnyak10
WSep 10 · 05:00V. Khyzhnyak1.80711118113Y. Urezchenko1.9111881192LSep 7 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak1.7311591192Y. Urezchenko2.00611114113LSep 7 · 08:30V. Khyzhnyak5.00531261A. Lysyi1.14111110113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.171111113V. Khyzhnyak4.507680LSep 4 · 06:00O. Badanin1.3311711113V. Khyzhnyak3.25411531LSep 4 · 05:00V. Kurliuk1.3071111133V. Khyzhnyak3.401157111WAug 17 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak1.8011511123V. Yarovyi1.919119101
V. Matviichuk10
LSep 10 · 07:00S. Zherykhin2.631211113V. Matviichuk1.4410450LSep 10 · 05:30O. Shvydkyi2.2011129113V. Matviichuk1.614101181WSep 8 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.441111113V. Hyriavyi2.637530LSep 8 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.25691191M. Zavoloka1.5711113113WSep 8 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.753570V. Matviichuk1.401111113LSep 8 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.531111113V. Matviichuk2.388780LSep 8 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi3.2511511123V. Matviichuk1.337119101WSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113
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