TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105596
Played Sep 10Finished
Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711118118811119
Yurii Urezchenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Urezchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Khyzhnyak above · Yurii Urezchenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 95 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Yurii Urezchenko at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Khyzhnyak 16–12 Yurii Urezchenko Yurii Urezchenko has won 12 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:16What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Khyzhnyak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-12 in 28
Khyzhnyak
Correct
gap of 4 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khyzhnyak 1035 vs Urezchenko 1103
Urezchenko
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khyzhnyak 20% vs Urezchenko 40%
Urezchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khyzhnyak 30% vs Urezchenko 60%
Urezchenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khyzhnyak -2 · Urezchenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Urezchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urezchenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhyzhnyak 1.80 / Urezchenko 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Urezchenko)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13105596
Khyzhnyak1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 10 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it75% 9 of 12
Urezchenko1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 46 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back15% 15 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhyzhnyak7wins
AwayUrezchenko3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKhyzhnyak leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhyzhnyak83.3%5 of 6
AwayUrezchenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khyzhnyak6Urezchenko4n = 10Khyzhnyak took 6 of 10
S2Khyzhnyak8Urezchenko2n = 10Khyzhnyak took 8 of 10
S3Khyzhnyak7Urezchenko3n = 10Khyzhnyak took 7 of 10
S4Khyzhnyak4Urezchenko2n = 6Khyzhnyak took 4 of 6
S5Khyzhnyak1Urezchenko2n = 3Urezchenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhyzhnyakUrezchenkoK − UBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.032.2+6.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhyzhnyakUrezchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 152 vs 212 / 47432.2%44.7%49 / 152 vs 212 / 474Avg sets wonper match1.51.8per matchAvg pointsper match33.835.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrezchenkoKhyzhnyak 1.80/Urezchenko 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Urezchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Khyzhnyak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak—11591192Y. Urezchenko—611114113
LAug 17 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak—481111102Y. Urezchenko—111188123
WJul 21 · 10:43V. Khyzhnyak—1111113Y. Urezchenko—7380
WJul 21 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak—111110113Y. Urezchenko—721231
WJun 9 · 10:09V. Khyzhnyak—1111113Y. Urezchenko—8950
WJun 9 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak—1112113Y. Urezchenko—81060
WMay 25 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak—1112113Y. Urezchenko—61080
LMay 22 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak—911581Y. Urezchenko—11911113
WMay 22 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak—81111113Y. Urezchenko—117851
WMay 4 · 05:00V. Khyzhnyak—811119113Y. Urezchenko—11761192
V. Khyzhnyak10
LSep 7 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak1.7311591192Y. Urezchenko2.00611114113LSep 7 · 08:30V. Khyzhnyak5.00531261A. Lysyi1.14111110113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.171111113V. Khyzhnyak4.507680LSep 4 · 06:00O. Badanin1.3311711113V. Khyzhnyak3.25411531LSep 4 · 05:00V. Kurliuk1.3071111133V. Khyzhnyak3.401157111WAug 17 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak1.8011511123V. Yarovyi1.919119101WAug 17 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak2.25141110113M. Zavoloka1.571291261
Y. Urezchenko10
WSep 10 · 06:00S. Zherykhin2.6371111121Y. Urezchenko1.4411713143WSep 8 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.53116111062Y. Urezchenko2.38711512113LSep 8 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.753570V. Matviichuk1.401111113LSep 8 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko1.407650V. Hyriavyi2.751111113LSep 8 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.4059140M. Zavoloka1.301111163WSep 7 · 10:33A. Lysyi1.367690Y. Urezchenko3.001111113WSep 7 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak1.7311591192Y. Urezchenko2.00611114113WSep 7 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.381111133O. Badanin1.5388110WSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010
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