TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13091864
Played Sep 7Finished
Anatoliy Lysyi
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611911––––
Yurii Urezchenko
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingAnatoliy Lysyi above · Yurii Urezchenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11
55 points played in total.
H2H Anatoliy Lysyi 22–8 Yurii Urezchenko Yurii Urezchenko has won 8 of their 30 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Urezchenko beat Lysyi 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Lysyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urezchenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysyi 1.36 / Urezchenko 3.00
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Lysyi)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13091864
Lysyi1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 60 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it78% 43 of 55
Urezchenko3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 41 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back13% 13 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysyi8wins
AwayUrezchenko2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLysyi leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysyi100%5 of 5
AwayUrezchenko40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysyi5Urezchenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Lysyi9Urezchenko1n = 10Lysyi took 9 of 10
S3Lysyi8Urezchenko2n = 10Lysyi took 8 of 10
S4Lysyi5Urezchenko1n = 6Lysyi took 5 of 6
S5Lysyi1Urezchenko2n = 3Urezchenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysyiUrezchenkoL − UBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.031.7+9.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysyiUrezchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime182 / 428 vs 211 / 47442.5%44.5%182 / 428 vs 211 / 474Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.435.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysyiLysyi 1.36/Urezchenko 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.2%
Lysyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Urezchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 06:30A. Lysyi—691111112Y. Urezchenko—111145133
WAug 31 · 06:30A. Lysyi—1111113Y. Urezchenko—8750
WAug 24 · 06:30A. Lysyi—811811113Y. Urezchenko—11711292
WAug 17 · 10:30A. Lysyi—71111173Y. Urezchenko—1179151
WAug 17 · 08:30A. Lysyi—1111113Y. Urezchenko—5940
LAug 10 · 08:00A. Lysyi—121111992Y. Urezchenko—148711113
WAug 10 · 07:00A. Lysyi—11118113Y. Urezchenko—391121
WAug 9 · 17:09A. Lysyi—81112113Y. Urezchenko—1161071
WAug 9 · 15:30A. Lysyi—1111113Y. Urezchenko—9850
WJun 29 · 09:59A. Lysyi—1111113Y. Urezchenko—7590
A. Lysyi10
WSep 7 · 08:30V. Khyzhnyak5.00531261A. Lysyi1.14111110113WSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481LSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171LSep 6 · 08:30A. Danylov2.25121182113A. Lysyi1.57108111182LSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113LSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.3011115262V. Hyriavyi3.40951111113LSep 5 · 17:04A. Lysyi3.2571161242R. Sveshnykov1.33119111063LSep 5 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.4081211113A. Lysyi2.751110581
Y. Urezchenko10
WSep 7 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak1.7311591192Y. Urezchenko2.00611114113WSep 7 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.381111133O. Badanin1.5388110WSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173LSep 6 · 15:30Y. Urezchenko4.501760I. Sorochan1.171111113LSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko5.503520V. Kurliuk1.13111133LSep 1 · 10:13O. Badanin1.751111113Y. Urezchenko1.953450LSep 1 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.616111111113Y. Urezchenko2.2011138662
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