TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089164
Played Sep 7Finished
Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116511911114911
Yurii Urezchenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:22 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Khyzhnyak to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Khyzhnyak above · Yurii Urezchenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 88 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Volodymyr Khyzhnyak at 56.2%
88 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Khyzhnyak 16–11 Yurii Urezchenko Yurii Urezchenko has won 11 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:22What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-11 in 27
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
gap of 5 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khyzhnyak 1044 vs Urezchenko 1106
Urezchenko
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khyzhnyak 20% vs Urezchenko 60%
Urezchenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khyzhnyak 30% vs Urezchenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khyzhnyak -1 · Urezchenko +3
Urezchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khyzhnyak) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khyzhnyak form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhyzhnyak 1.73 / Urezchenko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Khyzhnyak)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13089164
Khyzhnyak1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite77% won 10 of 13
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Urezchenko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 41 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back13% 13 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhyzhnyak7wins
AwayUrezchenko3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKhyzhnyak leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhyzhnyak83.3%5 of 6
AwayUrezchenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khyzhnyak6Urezchenko4n = 10Khyzhnyak took 6 of 10
S2Khyzhnyak8Urezchenko2n = 10Khyzhnyak took 8 of 10
S3Khyzhnyak7Urezchenko3n = 10Khyzhnyak took 7 of 10
S4Khyzhnyak3Urezchenko3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhyzhnyakUrezchenkoK − UBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.931.9+6.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhyzhnyakUrezchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 151 vs 210 / 47332.5%44.4%49 / 151 vs 210 / 473Avg sets wonper match1.51.8per matchAvg pointsper match33.835.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhyzhnyakKhyzhnyak 1.73/Urezchenko 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Khyzhnyak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Urezchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak—481111102Y. Urezchenko—111188123
WJul 21 · 10:43V. Khyzhnyak—1111113Y. Urezchenko—7380
WJul 21 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak—111110113Y. Urezchenko—721231
WJun 9 · 10:09V. Khyzhnyak—1111113Y. Urezchenko—8950
WJun 9 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak—1112113Y. Urezchenko—81060
WMay 25 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak—1112113Y. Urezchenko—61080
LMay 22 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak—911581Y. Urezchenko—11911113
WMay 22 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak—81111113Y. Urezchenko—117851
WMay 4 · 05:00V. Khyzhnyak—811119113Y. Urezchenko—11761192
LApr 28 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak—117881Y. Urezchenko—71111113
V. Khyzhnyak10
LSep 7 · 08:30V. Khyzhnyak5.00531261A. Lysyi1.14111110113WSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.171111113V. Khyzhnyak4.507680LSep 4 · 06:00O. Badanin1.3311711113V. Khyzhnyak3.25411531LSep 4 · 05:00V. Kurliuk1.3071111133V. Khyzhnyak3.401157111WAug 17 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak1.8011511123V. Yarovyi1.919119101WAug 17 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak2.25141110113M. Zavoloka1.571291261LAug 17 · 08:00V. Yarovyi2.107111111113V. Khyzhnyak1.6711391322
Y. Urezchenko10
WSep 7 · 10:33A. Lysyi1.367690Y. Urezchenko3.001111113WSep 7 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.381111133O. Badanin1.5388110WSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173LSep 6 · 15:30Y. Urezchenko4.501760I. Sorochan1.171111113LSep 6 · 14:00Y. Urezchenko2.501411781R. Sveshnykov1.5016911113LSep 6 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko5.503520V. Kurliuk1.13111133LSep 1 · 10:13O. Badanin1.751111113Y. Urezchenko1.953450LSep 1 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.616111111113Y. Urezchenko2.2011138662
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