TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094450
Played Sep 8Finished
Serhii Honcharenko
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1176111151012611
Yurii Urezchenko
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:07 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Honcharenko to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Honcharenko above · Yurii Urezchenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 90 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Serhii Honcharenko at 56.9%
90 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Honcharenko 63–66 Yurii Urezchenko Serhii Honcharenko has won 63 of their 129 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:07What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Honcharenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
63-66 in 129
Urezchenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 129, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Honcharenko 1390 vs Urezchenko 1083
Honcharenko
Wrong
both rated, 307 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Honcharenko 60% vs Urezchenko 40%
Honcharenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Honcharenko 70% vs Urezchenko 50%
Honcharenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Honcharenko +2 · Urezchenko -3
Urezchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Honcharenko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoncharenko 1.53 / Urezchenko 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Honcharenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13094450
Honcharenko1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 104 of 160
Up 2–0, closes it95% 54 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it86% 83 of 97
Urezchenko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 45 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back14% 14 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHoncharenko6wins
AwayUrezchenko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHoncharenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoncharenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayUrezchenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Honcharenko6Urezchenko4n = 10Honcharenko took 6 of 10
S2Honcharenko5Urezchenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Honcharenko5Urezchenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Honcharenko4Urezchenko4n = 8split evenly
S5Honcharenko3Urezchenko1n = 4Honcharenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHoncharenkoUrezchenkoH − UBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.937.5+4.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoncharenkoUrezchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime435 / 840 vs 212 / 47851.8%44.4%435 / 840 vs 212 / 478Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.835.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoncharenkoHoncharenko 1.53/Urezchenko 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64%
Honcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Urezchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 16:30S. Honcharenko—111173Y. Urezchenko—8750
WSep 1 · 09:30S. Honcharenko—6111111113Y. Urezchenko—11138662
LAug 31 · 05:00S. Honcharenko—10119101Y. Urezchenko—12811123
WAug 25 · 06:30S. Honcharenko—128115113Y. Urezchenko—101161172
LAug 24 · 09:30S. Honcharenko—11111061Y. Urezchenko—51312113
LAug 19 · 07:00S. Honcharenko—611911112Y. Urezchenko—117114133
WJul 21 · 08:00S. Honcharenko—111112113Y. Urezchenko—3131081
LJul 20 · 10:34S. Honcharenko—9111091Y. Urezchenko—11312113
WJul 20 · 09:30S. Honcharenko—1110612113Y. Urezchenko—712111072
WJul 13 · 09:30S. Honcharenko—1111113Y. Urezchenko—7560
S. Honcharenko10
LSep 8 · 10:33M. Zavoloka1.5714711113S. Honcharenko2.251211491WSep 8 · 08:30S. Honcharenko1.2511119113V. Hyriavyi3.75671191WSep 8 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.531111113V. Matviichuk2.388780LSep 8 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.739680M. Zavoloka2.001111113LSep 7 · 17:39N. Priadko1.611311113S. Honcharenko2.2011890WSep 7 · 16:30S. Honcharenko3.251151112113I. Dubinin1.3351161492WSep 7 · 15:30S. Honcharenko2.101161011123N. Priadko1.67411128102WSep 7 · 14:00S. Honcharenko1.571111113I. Sorochan2.257360LSep 7 · 13:00S. Honcharenko4.3313513842S. Sideltsev1.2011111111113WSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113
Y. Urezchenko10
LSep 8 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.753570V. Matviichuk1.401111113LSep 8 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko1.407650V. Hyriavyi2.751111113LSep 8 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.4059140M. Zavoloka1.301111163WSep 7 · 10:33A. Lysyi1.367690Y. Urezchenko3.001111113WSep 7 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak1.7311591192Y. Urezchenko2.00611114113WSep 7 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.381111133O. Badanin1.5388110WSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173LSep 6 · 15:30Y. Urezchenko4.501760I. Sorochan1.171111113
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