TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094192
Played Sep 7Finished
Nikita Priadko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311118119––––
Serhii Honcharenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingNikita Priadko above · Serhii Honcharenko below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 63 set 3, 11-9
63 points played in total.
H2H Nikita Priadko 0–1 Serhii Honcharenko Nikita Priadko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Honcharenko beat Priadko 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Priadko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Honcharenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 1.61 / Honcharenko 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Priadko)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13094192
Priadko1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite31% won 4 of 13
Honcharenko2.20
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog42% won 73 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back24% 24 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePriadko0wins
AwayHoncharenko1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderHoncharenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPriadkoHoncharenkoP − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match45.050.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoHoncharenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 22 vs 433 / 83627.3%51.8%6 / 22 vs 433 / 836Avg sets wonper match1.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoPriadko 1.61/Honcharenko 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Priadko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 7 · 15:30N. Priadko—411128102S. Honcharenko—1161011123
N. Priadko10
LSep 7 · 15:30S. Honcharenko2.101161011123N. Priadko1.67411128102WSep 7 · 14:30N. Priadko3.2511111113S. Sideltsev1.33891171WSep 7 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.83114891N. Priadko1.8381111113LSep 7 · 12:30N. Priadko2.201111391I. Sorochan1.6113711113LSep 5 · 09:30N. Priadko2.759290D. Tsys1.401111113LSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 3 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov2.3811119113N. Priadko1.53791191LSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113
S. Honcharenko10
WSep 7 · 16:30S. Honcharenko3.251151112113I. Dubinin1.3351161492WSep 7 · 15:30S. Honcharenko2.101161011123N. Priadko1.67411128102WSep 7 · 14:00S. Honcharenko1.571111113I. Sorochan2.257360LSep 7 · 13:00S. Honcharenko4.3313513842S. Sideltsev1.2011111111113WSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173WSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.731111113I. Sorochan2.008860WSep 6 · 12:00S. Honcharenko2.501111113V. Kurliuk1.508890WSep 5 · 17:33I. Sorochan2.07611111062S. Honcharenko1.67118912113
Upcoming Matches
N. Priadko
Nothing scheduled
S. Honcharenko
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