TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088854
Played Sep 7Finished
Serhii Honcharenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11461110121181210
Nikita Priadko
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:38 and never touched — 81.3% is still 81.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Honcharenko to win
81.3%
81.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Honcharenko above · Nikita Priadko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 95 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Serhii Honcharenko at 81.3%
95 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:38What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Priadko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Honcharenko 1409 vs Priadko 1251
Honcharenko
Correct
both rated, 158 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Honcharenko 80% vs Priadko 40%
Honcharenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Honcharenko 80% vs Priadko 30%
Honcharenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Honcharenko +1 · Priadko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Priadko) · live re-read · sealed at 19% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoncharenko 2.10 / Priadko 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Priadko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13088854
Honcharenko2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog42% won 73 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back24% 24 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 59
Priadko1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite31% won 4 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoncharenkoPriadkoBasisWin rate · lifetime431 / 834 vs 6 / 2151.7%28.6%431 / 834 vs 6 / 21Avg sets wonper match2.01.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.832.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoHoncharenko 2.10/Priadko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Honcharenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Honcharenko10
WSep 7 · 16:30S. Honcharenko3.251151112113I. Dubinin1.3351161492WSep 7 · 14:00S. Honcharenko1.571111113I. Sorochan2.257360LSep 7 · 13:00S. Honcharenko4.3313513842S. Sideltsev1.2011111111113WSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173WSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.731111113I. Sorochan2.008860WSep 6 · 12:00S. Honcharenko2.501111113V. Kurliuk1.508890WSep 5 · 17:33I. Sorochan2.07611111062S. Honcharenko1.67118912113LSep 5 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.611171193S. Honcharenko2.20911671
N. Priadko10
WSep 7 · 14:30N. Priadko3.2511111113S. Sideltsev1.33891171WSep 7 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.83114891N. Priadko1.8381111113LSep 7 · 12:30N. Priadko2.201111391I. Sorochan1.6113711113LSep 5 · 09:30N. Priadko2.759290D. Tsys1.401111113LSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 3 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov2.3811119113N. Priadko1.53791191LSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113WSep 3 · 13:30N. Priadko1.53115711153O. Levytskyi2.38811118132
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