TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089363
Played Sep 7Finished
Nikita Priadko
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118119111117––
Sergii Sideltsev
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:10 and never touched — 73.7% is still 73.7%
Graded at full timeSergii Sideltsev to win
73.7%
73.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingNikita Priadko above · Sergii Sideltsev below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 1-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 69 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Sergii Sideltsev at 73.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Nikita Priadko 0–3 Sergii Sideltsev Nikita Priadko has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Sideltsev
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Sideltsev
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1207 vs Sideltsev 1515
Sideltsev
Wrong
both rated, 308 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 20% vs Sideltsev 40%
Sideltsev
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 20% vs Sideltsev 60%
Sideltsev
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko +1 · Sideltsev +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Sideltsev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sideltsev form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 3.25 / Sideltsev 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Sideltsev)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13089363
Priadko3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Sideltsev1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite72% won 102 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it100% 68 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it85% 81 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePriadko0wins
AwaySideltsev3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSideltsev leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko1Sideltsev2n = 3Sideltsev took 2 of 3
S2Priadko0Sideltsev3n = 3Sideltsev took 3 of 3
S3Priadko1Sideltsev2n = 3Sideltsev took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricPriadkoSideltsevP − SBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match24.738.0−13.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoSideltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 20 vs 244 / 41525%58.8%5 / 20 vs 244 / 415Avg sets wonper match1.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match32.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SideltsevPriadko 3.25/Sideltsev 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.7%
Sideltsev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Priadko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko—11711642S. Sideltsev—611911113
LSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko—5790S. Sideltsev—1111113
LSep 2 · 08:30N. Priadko—3830S. Sideltsev—1111113
N. Priadko10
WSep 7 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.83114891N. Priadko1.8381111113LSep 7 · 12:30N. Priadko2.201111391I. Sorochan1.6113711113LSep 5 · 09:30N. Priadko2.759290D. Tsys1.401111113LSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 3 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov2.3811119113N. Priadko1.53791191LSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113WSep 3 · 13:30N. Priadko1.53115711153O. Levytskyi2.38811118132LSep 3 · 12:00N. Priadko1.91148551R. Hryhoriev1.80121111113
S. Sideltsev10
WSep 7 · 13:00S. Honcharenko4.3313513842S. Sideltsev1.2011111111113LSep 7 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.10114511113S. Sideltsev1.6791111682LSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980LSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113WSep 5 · 08:00D. Tsys1.444111071S. Sideltsev2.6311512113WSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160WSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113WSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113
Upcoming Matches
N. Priadko
Nothing scheduled
S. Sideltsev
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