TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089232
Played Sep 7Finished
Ihor Dubinin
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118411811911––
Nikita Priadko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIhor Dubinin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingIhor Dubinin above · Nikita Priadko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Ihor Dubinin at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Dubinin 2–0 Nikita Priadko Nikita Priadko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:42What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Priadko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Dubinin 1371 vs Priadko 1168
Dubinin
Wrong
both rated, 203 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dubinin 20% vs Priadko 0%
Dubinin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dubinin 50% vs Priadko 10%
Dubinin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dubinin +1 · Priadko -5
Priadko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dubinin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDubinin 1.83 / Priadko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dubinin)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13089232
Dubinin1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Priadko1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDubinin2wins
AwayPriadko0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderDubinin leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricDubininPriadkoD − PBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match41.540.0+1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDubininPriadkoBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 445 vs 4 / 1950.8%21.1%226 / 445 vs 4 / 19Avg sets wonper match2.01.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.731.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DubininDubinin 1.83/Priadko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dubinin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Priadko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 1 · 17:38I. Dubinin—11118113N. Priadko—691181
WSep 1 · 12:00I. Dubinin—124411113N. Priadko—101111592
I. Dubinin10
WSep 7 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.10114511113S. Sideltsev1.6791111682LSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162LSep 4 · 15:00I. Dubinin2.6368100D. Tsys1.441111123LSep 4 · 13:30I. Dubinin3.406760O. Torianyk1.301111113LSep 4 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.1010350V. Simchuk1.671211113WSep 1 · 17:38N. Priadko1.80691181I. Dubinin1.9111118113LSep 1 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.4071711113I. Dubinin2.751115781WSep 1 · 15:00I. Dubinin3.4091411113P. Kolesnik1.301112891WSep 1 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801111183R. Hryhoriev1.9139160WSep 1 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.38124411113N. Priadko1.53101111592
N. Priadko10
WSep 7 · 14:30N. Priadko3.2511111113S. Sideltsev1.33891171LSep 7 · 12:30N. Priadko2.201111391I. Sorochan1.6113711113LSep 5 · 09:30N. Priadko2.759290D. Tsys1.401111113LSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LSep 3 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov2.3811119113N. Priadko1.53791191LSep 3 · 15:00N. Priadko2.385790S. Sideltsev1.531111113LSep 1 · 17:38N. Priadko1.80691181I. Dubinin1.9111118113LSep 1 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.38124411113N. Priadko1.53101111592
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