TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094494
Played Sep 8Finished
Serhii Honcharenko
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116117911119––
Viktor Hyriavyi
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:19 and never touched — 76.3% is still 76.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Honcharenko to win
76.3%
76.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Honcharenko above · Viktor Hyriavyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Serhii Honcharenko at 76.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Honcharenko 49–23 Viktor Hyriavyi Viktor Hyriavyi has won 23 of their 72 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:19What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Honcharenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
49-23 in 72
Honcharenko
Correct
gap of 26 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Honcharenko 1388 vs Hyriavyi 1015
Honcharenko
Correct
both rated, 372 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Honcharenko 60% vs Hyriavyi 40%
Honcharenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Honcharenko 70% vs Hyriavyi 40%
Honcharenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Honcharenko +1 · Hyriavyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Honcharenko) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyriavyi form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoncharenko 1.25 / Hyriavyi 3.75
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Honcharenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13094494
Honcharenko1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 104 of 160
Up 2–0, closes it95% 54 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it86% 83 of 97
Hyriavyi3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog25% won 26 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back15% 11 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHoncharenko7wins
AwayHyriavyi3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHoncharenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoncharenko87.5%7 of 8
AwayHyriavyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Honcharenko8Hyriavyi2n = 10Honcharenko took 8 of 10
S2Honcharenko8Hyriavyi2n = 10Honcharenko took 8 of 10
S3Honcharenko7Hyriavyi3n = 10Honcharenko took 7 of 10
S4Honcharenko3Hyriavyi2n = 5Honcharenko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHoncharenkoHyriavyiHoncharenko − HyriavyiBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.629.2+7.4per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoncharenkoHyriavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime434 / 839 vs 112 / 34951.7%32.1%434 / 839 vs 112 / 349Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.833.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoncharenkoHoncharenko 1.25/Hyriavyi 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79%
Honcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Honcharenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 06:30S. Honcharenko—1111113V. Hyriavyi—5750
WAug 31 · 09:00S. Honcharenko—11119113V. Hyriavyi—761181
WAug 19 · 09:00S. Honcharenko—1111113V. Hyriavyi—2690
WAug 7 · 08:00S. Honcharenko—1312113V. Hyriavyi—111060
WJul 30 · 07:30S. Honcharenko—1111113V. Hyriavyi—5850
LJul 21 · 05:30S. Honcharenko—114118102V. Hyriavyi—911811123
LJun 23 · 07:30S. Honcharenko—811861V. Hyriavyi—11311113
WJun 16 · 08:30S. Honcharenko—1113113V. Hyriavyi—21170
LMay 26 · 05:30S. Honcharenko—56111142V. Hyriavyi—111197113
WMay 5 · 08:30S. Honcharenko—11117113V. Hyriavyi—371141
S. Honcharenko10
LSep 8 · 10:33M. Zavoloka1.5714711113S. Honcharenko2.251211491LSep 8 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.53116111062Y. Urezchenko2.38711512113WSep 8 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.531111113V. Matviichuk2.388780LSep 8 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.739680M. Zavoloka2.001111113LSep 7 · 17:39N. Priadko1.611311113S. Honcharenko2.2011890WSep 7 · 16:30S. Honcharenko3.251151112113I. Dubinin1.3351161492WSep 7 · 15:30S. Honcharenko2.101161011123N. Priadko1.67411128102WSep 7 · 14:00S. Honcharenko1.571111113I. Sorochan2.257360LSep 7 · 13:00S. Honcharenko4.3313513842S. Sideltsev1.2011111111113WSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113
V. Hyriavyi10
LSep 8 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.441111113V. Hyriavyi2.637530LSep 8 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi3.401330M. Zavoloka1.301111113WSep 8 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko1.407650V. Hyriavyi2.751111113WSep 8 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi3.2511511123V. Matviichuk1.337119101LSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113LSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432WSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113WSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.3011115262V. Hyriavyi3.40951111113LSep 3 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.53111111113V. Hyriavyi2.38138871
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