TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13098233
Played Sep 8Finished
Mykola Zavoloka
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1412711114119––
Serhii Honcharenko
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMykola Zavoloka above · Serhii Honcharenko below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 79 set 4, 11-9
79 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Zavoloka 4–5 Serhii Honcharenko Mykola Zavoloka has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Zavoloka beat Honcharenko 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zavoloka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zavoloka form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZavoloka 1.57 / Honcharenko 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Zavoloka)-0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13098233
Zavoloka1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 26 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it78% 21 of 27
Honcharenko2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 75 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back23% 24 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeZavoloka4wins
AwayHoncharenko5wins
3 of 9 to a deciderHoncharenko leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZavoloka80%4 of 5
AwayHoncharenko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zavoloka5Honcharenko4n = 9Zavoloka took 5 of 9
S2Zavoloka5Honcharenko4n = 9Zavoloka took 5 of 9
S3Zavoloka5Honcharenko4n = 9Zavoloka took 5 of 9
S4Zavoloka3Honcharenko2n = 5Zavoloka took 3 of 5
S5Zavoloka0Honcharenko3n = 3Honcharenko took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricZavolokaHoncharenkoZ − HBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match37.838.9−1.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZavolokaHoncharenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime36 / 57 vs 435 / 84163.2%51.7%36 / 57 vs 435 / 841Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaZavoloka 1.57/Honcharenko 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Zavoloka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zavoloka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 8 · 06:00M. Zavoloka—1111113S. Honcharenko—9680
WAug 25 · 10:39M. Zavoloka—1114113S. Honcharenko—91250
LAug 25 · 07:30M. Zavoloka—71111952S. Honcharenko—119911113
LAug 24 · 10:28M. Zavoloka—9450S. Honcharenko—1111113
WAug 24 · 06:00M. Zavoloka—131112113S. Honcharenko—1171461
LAug 23 · 13:00M. Zavoloka—111261282S. Honcharenko—9141110113
LJul 8 · 08:30M. Zavoloka—91111792S. Honcharenko—119711113
WJul 8 · 07:30M. Zavoloka—12711133S. Honcharenko—10118111
LJul 7 · 06:00M. Zavoloka—11940S. Honcharenko—1311113
M. Zavoloka10
WSep 8 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.25691191M. Zavoloka1.5711113113WSep 8 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi3.401330M. Zavoloka1.301111113WSep 8 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.739680M. Zavoloka2.001111113WSep 8 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.4059140M. Zavoloka1.301111163WAug 25 · 10:39M. Zavoloka1.831114113S. Honcharenko1.8391250LAug 25 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.20133611113M. Zavoloka1.61111111992LAug 25 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.57119911113M. Zavoloka2.2571111952WAug 25 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011115992M. Zavoloka1.73391111113WAug 25 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.251711111M. Zavoloka1.3311119133LAug 24 · 10:28M. Zavoloka1.739450S. Honcharenko2.001111113
S. Honcharenko10
LSep 8 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.53116111062Y. Urezchenko2.38711512113WSep 8 · 08:30S. Honcharenko1.2511119113V. Hyriavyi3.75671191WSep 8 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.531111113V. Matviichuk2.388780LSep 8 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.739680M. Zavoloka2.001111113LSep 7 · 17:39N. Priadko1.611311113S. Honcharenko2.2011890WSep 7 · 16:30S. Honcharenko3.251151112113I. Dubinin1.3351161492WSep 7 · 15:30S. Honcharenko2.101161011123N. Priadko1.67411128102LAug 25 · 10:39M. Zavoloka1.831114113S. Honcharenko1.8391250WAug 25 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.57119911113M. Zavoloka2.2571111952WAug 24 · 10:28M. Zavoloka1.739450S. Honcharenko2.001111113
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