TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094572
Played Sep 8Finished
Vasyl Matviichuk
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611911113911––
Mykola Zavoloka
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:42 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeMykola Zavoloka to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasyl Matviichuk above · Mykola Zavoloka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 71 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Mykola Zavoloka at 57.4%
71 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Matviichuk 5–2 Mykola Zavoloka Mykola Zavoloka has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:42What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Zavoloka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Matviichuk
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Matviichuk 1077 vs Zavoloka 1287
Zavoloka
Correct
both rated, 209 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Matviichuk 60% vs Zavoloka 80%
Zavoloka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Matviichuk 50% vs Zavoloka 70%
Zavoloka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Matviichuk +1 · Zavoloka +4
Zavoloka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Zavoloka) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zavoloka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatviichuk 2.25 / Zavoloka 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Zavoloka)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13094572
Matviichuk2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 35 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back7% 5 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 62
Zavoloka1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 26 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it78% 21 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMatviichuk5wins
AwayZavoloka2wins
5 of 7 to a deciderMatviichuk leads 5–2, and 5 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMatviichuk75%3 of 4
AwayZavoloka33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Matviichuk4Zavoloka3n = 7Matviichuk took 4 of 7
S2Matviichuk4Zavoloka3n = 7Matviichuk took 4 of 7
S3Matviichuk5Zavoloka2n = 7Matviichuk took 5 of 7
S4Matviichuk3Zavoloka3n = 6split evenly
S5Matviichuk3Zavoloka2n = 5Matviichuk took 3 of 5
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricMatviichukZavolokaM − ZBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match44.743.9+0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatviichukZavolokaBasisWin rate · lifetime292 / 617 vs 35 / 5647.3%62.5%292 / 617 vs 35 / 56Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaMatviichuk 2.25/Zavoloka 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Zavoloka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zavoloka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 25 · 09:00V. Matviichuk—133611113M. Zavoloka—111111992
LAug 24 · 09:00V. Matviichuk—11311642M. Zavoloka—911911113
WJul 8 · 09:00V. Matviichuk—111311113M. Zavoloka—9111391
LJul 8 · 06:30V. Matviichuk—811119122M. Zavoloka—118911143
WJul 7 · 07:00V. Matviichuk—10111111113M. Zavoloka—12541362
WJun 29 · 10:28V. Matviichuk—1111113M. Zavoloka—8790
WJun 29 · 07:00V. Matviichuk—981111113M. Zavoloka—11117982
V. Matviichuk10
WSep 8 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.441111113V. Hyriavyi2.637530WSep 8 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.753570V. Matviichuk1.401111113LSep 8 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.531111113V. Matviichuk2.388780LSep 8 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi3.2511511123V. Matviichuk1.337119101WSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113LSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 5 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.1311118113V. Matviichuk5.50491191
M. Zavoloka10
WSep 8 · 10:33M. Zavoloka1.5714711113S. Honcharenko2.251211491WSep 8 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi3.401330M. Zavoloka1.301111113WSep 8 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.739680M. Zavoloka2.001111113WSep 8 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.4059140M. Zavoloka1.301111163WAug 25 · 10:39M. Zavoloka1.831114113S. Honcharenko1.8391250LAug 25 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.20133611113M. Zavoloka1.61111111992LAug 25 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.57119911113M. Zavoloka2.2571111952WAug 25 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011115992M. Zavoloka1.73391111113WAug 25 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.251711111M. Zavoloka1.3311119133LAug 24 · 10:28M. Zavoloka1.739450S. Honcharenko2.001111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.