TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094533
Played Sep 8Finished
Serhii Honcharenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611811––––
Mykola Zavoloka
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Honcharenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Honcharenko above · Mykola Zavoloka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 56 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Honcharenko at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Honcharenko 5–3 Mykola Zavoloka Mykola Zavoloka has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:28What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Honcharenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Honcharenko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Honcharenko 1404 vs Zavoloka 1259
Honcharenko
Wrong
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Honcharenko 60% vs Zavoloka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Honcharenko 80% vs Zavoloka 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Honcharenko -1 · Zavoloka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Honcharenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoncharenko 1.73 / Zavoloka 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Honcharenko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13094533
Honcharenko1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 104 of 160
Up 2–0, closes it95% 54 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it86% 83 of 97
Zavoloka2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 6 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 6
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeHoncharenko5wins
AwayZavoloka3wins
3 of 8 to a deciderHoncharenko leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoncharenko100%4 of 4
AwayZavoloka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Honcharenko4Zavoloka4n = 8split evenly
S2Honcharenko4Zavoloka4n = 8split evenly
S3Honcharenko4Zavoloka4n = 8split evenly
S4Honcharenko2Zavoloka3n = 5Zavoloka took 3 of 5
S5Honcharenko3Zavoloka0n = 3Honcharenko took 3 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricHoncharenkoZavolokaH − ZBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match40.938.4+2.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoncharenkoZavolokaBasisWin rate · lifetime433 / 837 vs 33 / 5451.7%61.1%433 / 837 vs 33 / 54Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoncharenkoHoncharenko 1.73/Zavoloka 2.00
Miss
What we said
54.9%
Honcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zavoloka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 25 · 10:39S. Honcharenko—91250M. Zavoloka—1114113
WAug 25 · 07:30S. Honcharenko—119911113M. Zavoloka—71111952
WAug 24 · 10:28S. Honcharenko—1111113M. Zavoloka—9450
LAug 24 · 06:00S. Honcharenko—1171461M. Zavoloka—131112113
WAug 23 · 13:00S. Honcharenko—9141110113M. Zavoloka—111261282
WJul 8 · 08:30S. Honcharenko—119711113M. Zavoloka—91111792
LJul 8 · 07:30S. Honcharenko—10118111M. Zavoloka—12711133
WJul 7 · 06:00S. Honcharenko—1311113M. Zavoloka—11940
S. Honcharenko10
LSep 7 · 17:39N. Priadko1.611311113S. Honcharenko2.2011890WSep 7 · 16:30S. Honcharenko3.251151112113I. Dubinin1.3351161492WSep 7 · 15:30S. Honcharenko2.101161011123N. Priadko1.67411128102WSep 7 · 14:00S. Honcharenko1.571111113I. Sorochan2.257360LSep 7 · 13:00S. Honcharenko4.3313513842S. Sideltsev1.2011111111113WSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 16:30Y. Urezchenko2.208750S. Honcharenko1.61111173WSep 6 · 15:00S. Honcharenko2.2511119123R. Sveshnykov1.577611101WSep 6 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.731111113I. Sorochan2.008860WSep 6 · 12:00S. Honcharenko2.501111113V. Kurliuk1.508890
M. Zavoloka10
WSep 8 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.4059140M. Zavoloka1.301111163WAug 25 · 10:39M. Zavoloka1.831114113S. Honcharenko1.8391250LAug 25 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.20133611113M. Zavoloka1.61111111992LAug 25 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.57119911113M. Zavoloka2.2571111952WAug 25 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011115992M. Zavoloka1.73391111113WAug 25 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.251711111M. Zavoloka1.3311119133LAug 24 · 10:28M. Zavoloka1.739450S. Honcharenko2.001111113WAug 24 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.9111311642M. Zavoloka1.80911911113WAug 24 · 07:30A. Lysyi2.505156111M. Zavoloka1.50111311133WAug 24 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.731171461M. Zavoloka2.00131112113
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