TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13098154
Played Sep 8Finished
Vasyl Matviichuk
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115113––––
Viktor Hyriavyi
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingVasyl Matviichuk above · Viktor Hyriavyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 48 set 3, 11-3
48 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Matviichuk 51–34 Viktor Hyriavyi Viktor Hyriavyi has won 34 of their 85 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Matviichuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matviichuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatviichuk 1.44 / Hyriavyi 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Matviichuk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13098154
Matviichuk1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 77 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it96% 43 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it81% 61 of 75
Hyriavyi2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog25% won 26 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back15% 11 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMatviichuk6wins
AwayHyriavyi4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMatviichuk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMatviichuk83.3%5 of 6
AwayHyriavyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Matviichuk6Hyriavyi4n = 10Matviichuk took 6 of 10
S2Matviichuk5Hyriavyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Matviichuk4Hyriavyi6n = 10Hyriavyi took 6 of 10
S4Matviichuk6Hyriavyi2n = 8Matviichuk took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMatviichukHyriavyiM − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.634.1+5.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatviichukHyriavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime291 / 617 vs 112 / 34947.2%32.1%291 / 617 vs 112 / 349Avg sets wonper match1.91.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.933.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatviichukMatviichuk 1.44/Hyriavyi 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Matviichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Matviichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 05:30V. Matviichuk—7119101V. Hyriavyi—11511123
WSep 6 · 09:00V. Matviichuk—11711113V. Hyriavyi—911931
WSep 3 · 10:04V. Matviichuk—111111113V. Hyriavyi—138871
LSep 3 · 05:30V. Matviichuk—119841V. Hyriavyi—61111113
WAug 31 · 07:00V. Matviichuk—111110113V. Hyriavyi—441231
LAug 19 · 10:29V. Matviichuk—89111172V. Hyriavyi—111159113
LAug 19 · 05:00V. Matviichuk—75130V. Hyriavyi—1111153
WAug 7 · 09:00V. Matviichuk—12119133V. Hyriavyi—10411111
WAug 3 · 10:28V. Matviichuk—119911113V. Hyriavyi—61111912
WAug 3 · 08:00V. Matviichuk—1111113V. Hyriavyi—3920
V. Matviichuk10
LSep 8 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.25691191M. Zavoloka1.5711113113WSep 8 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.753570V. Matviichuk1.401111113LSep 8 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.531111113V. Matviichuk2.388780LSep 8 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi3.2511511123V. Matviichuk1.337119101WSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.834550V. Matviichuk1.831111113WSep 6 · 06:00A. Danylov1.731171171V. Matviichuk2.0013115113LSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 5 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.1311118113V. Matviichuk5.50491191
V. Hyriavyi10
LSep 8 · 08:30S. Honcharenko1.2511119113V. Hyriavyi3.75671191LSep 8 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi3.401330M. Zavoloka1.301111113WSep 8 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko1.407650V. Hyriavyi2.751111113WSep 8 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi3.2511511123V. Matviichuk1.337119101LSep 6 · 09:58V. Hyriavyi1.5031191192A. Danylov2.50117114113LSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi3.00911931V. Matviichuk1.3611711113LSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432WSep 6 · 07:00A. Danylov2.25581241V. Hyriavyi1.57111110113WSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.3011115262V. Hyriavyi3.40951111113LSep 3 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.53111111113V. Hyriavyi2.38138871
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