TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105734
Played Sep 10Finished
Stanislav Zherykhin
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71111711131214––
Yurii Urezchenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:34 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeYurii Urezchenko to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStanislav Zherykhin above · Yurii Urezchenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 86 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Yurii Urezchenko at 64.5%
86 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Zherykhin 1–4 Yurii Urezchenko Stanislav Zherykhin has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:34What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Urezchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Urezchenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zherykhin 979 vs Urezchenko 1098
Urezchenko
Correct
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zherykhin 20% vs Urezchenko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zherykhin 40% vs Urezchenko 60%
Urezchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zherykhin -2 · Urezchenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Urezchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urezchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZherykhin 2.63 / Urezchenko 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Urezchenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13105734
Zherykhin2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog26% won 14 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back15% 6 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 27
Urezchenko1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 59 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it79% 42 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeZherykhin1wins
AwayUrezchenko4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderUrezchenko leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZherykhinn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayUrezchenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zherykhin1Urezchenko4n = 5Urezchenko took 4 of 5
S2Zherykhin2Urezchenko3n = 5Urezchenko took 3 of 5
S3Zherykhin1Urezchenko4n = 5Urezchenko took 4 of 5
S4Zherykhin2Urezchenko2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricZherykhinUrezchenkoZ − UBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match38.844.2−5.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZherykhinUrezchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 75 vs 211 / 47430.7%44.5%23 / 75 vs 211 / 474Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.335.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrezchenkoZherykhin 2.63/Urezchenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Urezchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Urezchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 10 · 06:00S. Zherykhin—71111121Y. Urezchenko—11713143
LSep 7 · 05:00S. Zherykhin—141010Y. Urezchenko—1612113
LSep 1 · 05:00S. Zherykhin—11761362Y. Urezchenko—5111111113
WJul 12 · 17:03S. Zherykhin—761111113Y. Urezchenko—11118852
LJul 12 · 16:00S. Zherykhin—1013881Y. Urezchenko—121111113
S. Zherykhin10
LSep 7 · 09:00O. Badanin1.3311131110113S. Zherykhin3.2561551292LSep 7 · 07:30A. Lysyi1.7311811113S. Zherykhin2.00911481WSep 7 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak1.8361060S. Zherykhin1.831112113LSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010LSep 6 · 10:29V. Matviichuk1.6111411133S. Zherykhin2.209119111WSep 6 · 09:30A. Danylov1.6710116101S. Zherykhin2.1012511123WSep 6 · 08:00S. Zherykhin1.53881111113V. Hyriavyi2.3811117432LSep 6 · 06:30S. Zherykhin2.0011991162A. Lysyi1.73111115113WSep 6 · 05:00S. Zherykhin3.0011911113V. Matviichuk1.36711831LSep 3 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.571111123S. Zherykhin2.2598100
Y. Urezchenko10
LSep 10 · 05:00V. Khyzhnyak1.80711118113Y. Urezchenko1.9111881192WSep 8 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.53116111062Y. Urezchenko2.38711512113LSep 8 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.753570V. Matviichuk1.401111113LSep 8 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko1.407650V. Hyriavyi2.751111113LSep 8 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.4059140M. Zavoloka1.301111163WSep 7 · 10:33A. Lysyi1.367690Y. Urezchenko3.001111113WSep 7 · 09:30V. Khyzhnyak1.7311591192Y. Urezchenko2.00611114113WSep 7 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.381111133O. Badanin1.5388110WSep 7 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.25111145133A. Lysyi1.33691111112WSep 7 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko1.611612113S. Zherykhin2.20141010
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