TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100485
Played Sep 9Finished
Mykola Zavoloka
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611115119611611
Valentyn Kurliuk
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykola Zavoloka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykola Zavoloka above · Valentyn Kurliuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 87 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Mykola Zavoloka at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Zavoloka 0–1 Valentyn Kurliuk Mykola Zavoloka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zavoloka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zavoloka 1296 vs Kurliuk 1305
Kurliuk
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zavoloka 100% vs Kurliuk 20%
Zavoloka
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zavoloka 80% vs Kurliuk 60%
Zavoloka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zavoloka +5 · Kurliuk -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zavoloka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurliuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZavoloka 1.80 / Kurliuk 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zavoloka)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13100485
Zavoloka1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 30 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it81% 25 of 31
Kurliuk1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog13% won 5 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back3% 1 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZavoloka0wins
AwayKurliuk1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKurliuk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZavolokaKurliukZ − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match40.047.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZavolokaKurliukBasisWin rate · lifetime37 / 59 vs 146 / 28962.7%50.5%37 / 59 vs 146 / 289Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.235.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaZavoloka 1.80/Kurliuk 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zavoloka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kurliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 9 · 05:00M. Zavoloka—61111662V. Kurliuk—115911113
M. Zavoloka10
WSep 8 · 10:33M. Zavoloka1.5714711113S. Honcharenko2.251211491WSep 8 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.25691191M. Zavoloka1.5711113113WSep 8 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi3.401330M. Zavoloka1.301111113WSep 8 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.739680M. Zavoloka2.001111113WSep 8 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.4059140M. Zavoloka1.301111163WAug 25 · 10:39M. Zavoloka1.831114113S. Honcharenko1.8391250LAug 25 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.20133611113M. Zavoloka1.61111111992LAug 25 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.57119911113M. Zavoloka2.2571111952WAug 25 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011115992M. Zavoloka1.73391111113WAug 25 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.251711111M. Zavoloka1.3311119133
V. Kurliuk10
LSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133LSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 14:30I. Sorochan1.28111232V. Kurliuk3.5021030WSep 6 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko5.503520V. Kurliuk1.13111133LSep 6 · 12:00S. Honcharenko2.501111113V. Kurliuk1.508890WSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:30O. Badanin3.7511791152V. Kurliuk1.25711118113WSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 06:30V. Kurliuk1.731111113S. Honcharenko2.009680WSep 4 · 05:00V. Kurliuk1.3071111133V. Khyzhnyak3.401157111
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