TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100615
Played Sep 9Finished
Mykola Zavoloka
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511811118119811
Ihor Sorochan
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykola Zavoloka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykola Zavoloka above · Ihor Sorochan below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 93 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Mykola Zavoloka at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:13What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sorochan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Zavoloka 1285 vs Sorochan 1280
Zavoloka
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zavoloka 80% vs Sorochan 20%
Zavoloka
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zavoloka 70% vs Sorochan 40%
Zavoloka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zavoloka -1 · Sorochan -4
Sorochan
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zavoloka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sorochan form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZavoloka 1.83 / Sorochan 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zavoloka)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13100615
Zavoloka1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Sorochan1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricZavolokaSorochanBasisWin rate · lifetime37 / 59 vs 246 / 43962.7%56%37 / 59 vs 246 / 439Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaZavoloka 1.83/Sorochan 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zavoloka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sorochan won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Zavoloka10
LSep 9 · 05:00M. Zavoloka1.8061111662V. Kurliuk1.91115911113WSep 8 · 10:33M. Zavoloka1.5714711113S. Honcharenko2.251211491WSep 8 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.25691191M. Zavoloka1.5711113113WSep 8 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi3.401330M. Zavoloka1.301111113WSep 8 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.739680M. Zavoloka2.001111113WSep 8 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.4059140M. Zavoloka1.301111163WAug 25 · 10:39M. Zavoloka1.831114113S. Honcharenko1.8391250LAug 25 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.20133611113M. Zavoloka1.61111111992LAug 25 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.57119911113M. Zavoloka2.2571111952WAug 25 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011115992M. Zavoloka1.73391111113
I. Sorochan10
LSep 9 · 05:30I. Sorochan2.38961251S. Honcharenko1.53111110113LSep 7 · 16:00I. Sorochan3.0010630S. Sideltsev1.361211113LSep 7 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.8091411113I. Sorochan1.911112591LSep 7 · 14:00S. Honcharenko1.571111113I. Sorochan2.257360WSep 7 · 12:30N. Priadko2.201111391I. Sorochan1.6113711113LSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 15:30Y. Urezchenko4.501760I. Sorochan1.171111113WSep 6 · 14:30I. Sorochan1.28111232V. Kurliuk3.5021030LSep 6 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.731111113I. Sorochan2.008860WSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672
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