TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089032
Played Sep 7Finished
Ihor Sorochan
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012611311––––
Sergii Sideltsev
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:40 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeSergii Sideltsev to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Sorochan above · Sergii Sideltsev below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 53 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Sergii Sideltsev at 73.2%
53 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sorochan 9–23 Sergii Sideltsev Ihor Sorochan has won 9 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:40What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Sideltsev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-23 in 32
Sideltsev
Correct
gap of 14 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sorochan 1297 vs Sideltsev 1494
Sideltsev
Correct
both rated, 197 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sorochan 40% vs Sideltsev 20%
Sorochan
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sorochan 50% vs Sideltsev 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sorochan -2 · Sideltsev -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Sideltsev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sideltsev form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSorochan 3.00 / Sideltsev 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Sideltsev)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13089032
Sorochan3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 31 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back24% 10 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Sideltsev1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite72% won 102 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it100% 68 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it85% 81 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSorochan3wins
AwaySideltsev7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSideltsev leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSorochan66.7%2 of 3
AwaySideltsev85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sorochan3Sideltsev7n = 10Sideltsev took 7 of 10
S2Sorochan3Sideltsev7n = 10Sideltsev took 7 of 10
S3Sorochan5Sideltsev5n = 10split evenly
S4Sorochan3Sideltsev3n = 6split evenly
S5Sorochan2Sideltsev3n = 5Sideltsev took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSorochanSideltsevSorochan − SideltsevBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.740.1−6.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSorochanSideltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 443 vs 244 / 41656.2%58.7%249 / 443 vs 244 / 416Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SideltsevSorochan 3.00/Sideltsev 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Sideltsev · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sideltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 14:00I. Sorochan—64111162S. Sideltsev—111198113
LAug 24 · 16:58I. Sorochan—6770S. Sideltsev—1111113
LAug 24 · 12:30I. Sorochan—511381S. Sideltsev—11411113
LJul 5 · 15:30I. Sorochan—7930S. Sideltsev—1111113
LJun 12 · 05:30I. Sorochan—4290S. Sideltsev—1111113
LJun 10 · 05:30I. Sorochan—59111272S. Sideltsev—1111910113
LJun 5 · 09:59I. Sorochan—111781152S. Sideltsev—319118113
WJun 5 · 05:30I. Sorochan—511124113S. Sideltsev—119101192
WJun 2 · 12:30I. Sorochan—115126113S. Sideltsev—411101182
WApr 27 · 10:33I. Sorochan—1211113S. Sideltsev—10340
I. Sorochan10
LSep 7 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.8091411113I. Sorochan1.911112591LSep 7 · 14:00S. Honcharenko1.571111113I. Sorochan2.257360WSep 7 · 12:30N. Priadko2.201111391I. Sorochan1.6113711113LSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 15:30Y. Urezchenko4.501760I. Sorochan1.171111113WSep 6 · 14:30I. Sorochan1.28111232V. Kurliuk3.5021030LSep 6 · 13:30S. Honcharenko1.731111113I. Sorochan2.008860WSep 6 · 12:30I. Sorochan1.251181111113R. Sveshnykov3.7561113672LSep 5 · 17:33I. Sorochan2.07611111062S. Honcharenko1.67118912113WSep 5 · 16:00I. Sorochan1.1311118113V. Matviichuk5.50491191
S. Sideltsev10
LSep 7 · 14:30N. Priadko3.2511111113S. Sideltsev1.33891171WSep 7 · 13:00S. Honcharenko4.3313513842S. Sideltsev1.2011111111113LSep 7 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.10114511113S. Sideltsev1.6791111682LSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980LSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113WSep 5 · 08:00D. Tsys1.444111071S. Sideltsev2.6311512113WSep 5 · 07:00N. Priadko3.4011711642S. Sideltsev1.30611911113LSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160WSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113WSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191
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