TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13134602
Played Sep 15Finished
Pavlo Shulhachyk
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181181113311115
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingPavlo Shulhachyk above · Yurii Zvolynskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 92 set 5, 11-5
92 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Shulhachyk 16–8 Yurii Zvolynskyi Yurii Zvolynskyi has won 8 of their 24 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Shulhachyk beat Zvolynskyi 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Shulhachyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zvolynskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShulhachyk 1.44 / Zvolynskyi 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Shulhachyk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13134602
Shulhachyk1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 43 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it78% 32 of 41
Zvolynskyi2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 37 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back13% 11 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShulhachyk8wins
AwayZvolynskyi2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderShulhachyk leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShulhachyk80%4 of 5
AwayZvolynskyi20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shulhachyk5Zvolynskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Shulhachyk7Zvolynskyi3n = 10Shulhachyk took 7 of 10
S3Shulhachyk5Zvolynskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Shulhachyk4Zvolynskyi3n = 7Shulhachyk took 4 of 7
S5Shulhachyk5Zvolynskyi1n = 6Shulhachyk took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricShulhachykZvolynskyiS − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.936.5+5.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShulhachykZvolynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime172 / 290 vs 305 / 57759.3%52.9%172 / 290 vs 305 / 577Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShulhachykShulhachyk 1.44/Zvolynskyi 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Shulhachyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Shulhachyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 06:00P. Shulhachyk331111113Y. Zvolynskyi207670
WAug 11 · 08:30P. Shulhachyk571313911113Y. Zvolynskyi50111511852
WAug 10 · 16:00P. Shulhachyk49711911113Y. Zvolynskyi4211411972
LAug 4 · 13:00P. Shulhachyk4311127852Y. Zvolynskyi485101111113
LJul 29 · 06:00P. Shulhachyk216780Y. Zvolynskyi331111113
WJul 23 · 10:18P. Shulhachyk43611123113Y. Zvolynskyi42113101172
WJul 23 · 08:30P. Shulhachyk331111113Y. Zvolynskyi132830
WJul 12 · 07:00P. Shulhachyk3711114113Y. Zvolynskyi28851141
WJun 24 · 06:00P. Shulhachyk47811116113Y. Zvolynskyi4311861172
WJun 11 · 09:30P. Shulhachyk5612111111113Y. Zvolynskyi4614134692
P. Shulhachyk10
LSep 15 · 09:00V. Matviichuk4.5011118133P. Shulhachyk1.177611111WSep 15 · 07:30S. Honcharenko3.4071080P. Shulhachyk1.301112113WSep 15 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.507670P. Shulhachyk1.501111113WSep 15 · 05:00M. Zavoloka2.2011721121P. Shulhachyk1.61131119143LAug 27 · 09:30P. Shulhachyk2.006480P. Kolesnik1.731111113LAug 27 · 08:30P. Shulhachyk3.255770M. Denysenko1.331111113LAug 27 · 07:00P. Shulhachyk1.7381116542M. Pohorilyi2.001161411113LAug 27 · 06:00P. Shulhachyk3.259125101O. Torianyk1.33111011123WAug 18 · 10:28P. Shulhachyk1.671111113M. Pohorilyi2.101840WAug 18 · 09:00V. Simchuk2.636880P. Shulhachyk1.441111113
Y. Zvolynskyi10
WSep 15 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.001111153M. Zavoloka1.7388130WSep 15 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111113S. Honcharenko2.503780WSep 15 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251112113V. Matviichuk3.7581040LSep 15 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.507670P. Shulhachyk1.501111113LSep 10 · 16:00Y. Zvolynskyi3.40612891V. Simchuk1.30111011113WSep 10 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.33311661Y. Zvolynskyi3.2511911113LSep 10 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi1.4411711113Y. Zvolynskyi2.63911731LSep 10 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev1.3613911203Y. Zvolynskyi3.0011119181WSep 9 · 10:33S. Honcharenko2.6381111782Y. Zvolynskyi1.44117311113LSep 9 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.1071111872M. Zavoloka1.67113711113
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