TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130996
Played Sep 15Finished
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611711––––
Pavlo Shulhachyk
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timePavlo Shulhachyk to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Zvolynskyi above · Pavlo Shulhachyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 53 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Pavlo Shulhachyk at 63.7%
53 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Zvolynskyi 8–16 Pavlo Shulhachyk Yurii Zvolynskyi has won 8 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:29What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Shulhachyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-16 in 24
Shulhachyk
Correct
gap of 8 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zvolynskyi 1293 vs Shulhachyk 1405
Shulhachyk
Correct
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zvolynskyi 40% vs Shulhachyk 20%
Zvolynskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zvolynskyi 40% vs Shulhachyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zvolynskyi -1 · Shulhachyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Shulhachyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shulhachyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZvolynskyi 2.50 / Shulhachyk 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Shulhachyk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13130996
Zvolynskyi2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 37 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back13% 11 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 53
Shulhachyk1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 43 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it78% 32 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZvolynskyi2wins
AwayShulhachyk8wins
6 of 10 to a deciderShulhachyk leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZvolynskyi20%1 of 5
AwayShulhachyk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zvolynskyi5Shulhachyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Zvolynskyi3Shulhachyk7n = 10Shulhachyk took 7 of 10
S3Zvolynskyi5Shulhachyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Zvolynskyi3Shulhachyk4n = 7Shulhachyk took 4 of 7
S5Zvolynskyi1Shulhachyk5n = 6Shulhachyk took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZvolynskyiShulhachykZ − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.541.9−5.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZvolynskyiShulhachykBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 574 vs 174 / 29152.6%59.8%302 / 574 vs 174 / 291Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.435.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShulhachykZvolynskyi 2.50/Shulhachyk 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Shulhachyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Shulhachyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi207670P. Shulhachyk331111113
LAug 11 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi50111511852P. Shulhachyk571313911113
LAug 10 · 16:00Y. Zvolynskyi4211411972P. Shulhachyk49711911113
WAug 4 · 13:00Y. Zvolynskyi485101111113P. Shulhachyk4311127852
WJul 29 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi331111113P. Shulhachyk216780
LJul 23 · 10:18Y. Zvolynskyi42113101172P. Shulhachyk43611123113
LJul 23 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi132830P. Shulhachyk331111113
LJul 12 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi28851141P. Shulhachyk3711114113
LJun 24 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi4311861172P. Shulhachyk47811116113
LJun 11 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi4614134692P. Shulhachyk5612111111113
Y. Zvolynskyi10
WSep 15 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251112113V. Matviichuk3.7581040LSep 10 · 16:00Y. Zvolynskyi3.40612891V. Simchuk1.30111011113WSep 10 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.33311661Y. Zvolynskyi3.2511911113LSep 10 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi1.4411711113Y. Zvolynskyi2.63911731LSep 10 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev1.3613911203Y. Zvolynskyi3.0011119181WSep 9 · 10:33S. Honcharenko2.6381111782Y. Zvolynskyi1.44117311113LSep 9 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.1071111872M. Zavoloka1.67113711113WSep 9 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.731111113I. Sorochan2.007950LSep 9 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.506480S. Honcharenko2.501111113WSep 9 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.6312711113V. Kurliuk1.441011931
P. Shulhachyk10
WSep 15 · 05:00M. Zavoloka2.2011721121P. Shulhachyk1.61131119143LAug 27 · 09:30P. Shulhachyk2.006480P. Kolesnik1.731111113LAug 27 · 08:30P. Shulhachyk3.255770M. Denysenko1.331111113LAug 27 · 07:00P. Shulhachyk1.7381116542M. Pohorilyi2.001161411113LAug 27 · 06:00P. Shulhachyk3.259125101O. Torianyk1.33111011123WAug 18 · 10:28P. Shulhachyk1.671111113M. Pohorilyi2.101840WAug 18 · 09:00V. Simchuk2.636880P. Shulhachyk1.441111113WAug 18 · 07:30S. Honcharenko3.001041181P. Shulhachyk1.3612119113LAug 18 · 06:00I. Sorochan2.1011119113P. Shulhachyk1.67991191WAug 18 · 05:00M. Pohorilyi1.73815231P. Shulhachyk2.00111311113
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