TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100499
Played Sep 9Finished
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210711119113––
Valentyn Kurliuk
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:30 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeValentyn Kurliuk to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Zvolynskyi above · Valentyn Kurliuk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 74 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Valentyn Kurliuk at 66.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Zvolynskyi 7–15 Valentyn Kurliuk Yurii Zvolynskyi has won 7 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:30What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kurliuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-15 in 22
Kurliuk
Wrong
gap of 8 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zvolynskyi 1327 vs Kurliuk 1304
Zvolynskyi
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zvolynskyi 60% vs Kurliuk 40%
Zvolynskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zvolynskyi 70% vs Kurliuk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zvolynskyi -1 · Kurliuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kurliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurliuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZvolynskyi 2.63 / Kurliuk 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Kurliuk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13100499
Zvolynskyi2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog29% won 39 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back15% 12 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 55
Kurliuk1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 55 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it87% 47 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZvolynskyi4wins
AwayKurliuk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKurliuk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZvolynskyi66.7%2 of 3
AwayKurliuk71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zvolynskyi3Kurliuk7n = 10Kurliuk took 7 of 10
S2Zvolynskyi2Kurliuk8n = 10Kurliuk took 8 of 10
S3Zvolynskyi4Kurliuk6n = 10Kurliuk took 6 of 10
S4Zvolynskyi4Kurliuk2n = 6Zvolynskyi took 4 of 6
S5Zvolynskyi2Kurliuk1n = 3Zvolynskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricZvolynskyiKurliukZ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.537.2−4.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZvolynskyiKurliukBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 575 vs 146 / 29052.5%50.3%302 / 575 vs 146 / 290Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.435.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurliukZvolynskyi 2.63/Kurliuk 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Kurliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zvolynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi—12711113V. Kurliuk—1011931
LSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi—4370V. Kurliuk—1111113
LSep 4 · 08:00Y. Zvolynskyi—11611342V. Kurliuk—711511113
WAug 5 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi—951111113V. Kurliuk—11116362
WJul 30 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi—911711123V. Kurliuk—118117102
WJul 30 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi—11114113V. Kurliuk—881181
LJul 17 · 15:00Y. Zvolynskyi—7780V. Kurliuk—1111113
LJul 6 · 10:29Y. Zvolynskyi—991181V. Kurliuk—11119113
LJul 6 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi—25100V. Kurliuk—1111123
LJun 30 · 10:28Y. Zvolynskyi—9970V. Kurliuk—1111113
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 4 · 05:30S. Honcharenko2.384660Y. Zvolynskyi1.531111113LSep 3 · 10:35S. Honcharenko2.004121111113Y. Zvolynskyi1.73111071362WSep 3 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111110113S. Honcharenko2.5091181262WSep 3 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.141111113V. Hyriavyi5.005660WSep 3 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251111113V. Matviichuk3.759990WSep 3 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.1071211113S. Zherykhin6.501110741
V. Kurliuk10
WSep 9 · 05:00M. Zavoloka1.8061111662V. Kurliuk1.91115911113LSep 6 · 16:59V. Kurliuk1.251146111R. Sveshnykov3.7551111133LSep 6 · 16:00R. Sveshnykov3.75111138113V. Kurliuk1.2559111192LSep 6 · 14:30I. Sorochan1.28111232V. Kurliuk3.5021030WSep 6 · 13:00Y. Urezchenko5.503520V. Kurliuk1.13111133LSep 6 · 12:00S. Honcharenko2.501111113V. Kurliuk1.508890WSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:30O. Badanin3.7511791152V. Kurliuk1.25711118113WSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 06:30V. Kurliuk1.731111113S. Honcharenko2.009680
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