TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100699
Played Sep 9Finished
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611411811––––
Serhii Honcharenko
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:09 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeYurii Zvolynskyi to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Zvolynskyi above · Serhii Honcharenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 51 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Yurii Zvolynskyi at 60.1%
51 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Zvolynskyi 53–34 Serhii Honcharenko Serhii Honcharenko has won 34 of their 87 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:09What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zvolynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
53-34 in 87
Zvolynskyi
Wrong
gap of 19 in 87, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zvolynskyi 1314 vs Honcharenko 1379
Honcharenko
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zvolynskyi 60% vs Honcharenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zvolynskyi 70% vs Honcharenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zvolynskyi +1 · Honcharenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Zvolynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Honcharenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZvolynskyi 1.50 / Honcharenko 2.50
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Zvolynskyi)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13100699
Zvolynskyi1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite73% won 91 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it88% 74 of 84
Honcharenko2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 75 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back23% 24 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZvolynskyi5wins
AwayHoncharenko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZvolynskyi66.7%4 of 6
AwayHoncharenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zvolynskyi6Honcharenko4n = 10Zvolynskyi took 6 of 10
S2Zvolynskyi4Honcharenko6n = 10Honcharenko took 6 of 10
S3Zvolynskyi7Honcharenko3n = 10Zvolynskyi took 7 of 10
S4Zvolynskyi2Honcharenko5n = 7Honcharenko took 5 of 7
S5Zvolynskyi2Honcharenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZvolynskyiHoncharenkoZ − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.036.9+1.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZvolynskyiHoncharenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 576 vs 436 / 84152.4%51.8%302 / 576 vs 436 / 841Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZvolynskyiZvolynskyi 1.50/Honcharenko 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.7%
Zvolynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Honcharenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi—6480S. Honcharenko—1111113
WSep 4 · 05:30Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113S. Honcharenko—4660
LSep 3 · 10:35Y. Zvolynskyi—111071362S. Honcharenko—4121111113
WSep 3 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi—1111110113S. Honcharenko—91181262
LSep 1 · 10:34Y. Zvolynskyi—11118992S. Honcharenko—561111113
WSep 1 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi—1111143S. Honcharenko—49120
WAug 27 · 16:30Y. Zvolynskyi—119115113S. Honcharenko—61151162
LAug 25 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi—6311101S. Honcharenko—11117123
LAug 23 · 16:00Y. Zvolynskyi—9211131S. Honcharenko—11118153
WAug 10 · 15:00Y. Zvolynskyi—81111123S. Honcharenko—1128101
Y. Zvolynskyi10
WSep 9 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.6312711113V. Kurliuk1.441011931LSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 4 · 05:30S. Honcharenko2.384660Y. Zvolynskyi1.531111113LSep 3 · 10:35S. Honcharenko2.004121111113Y. Zvolynskyi1.73111071362WSep 3 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111110113S. Honcharenko2.5091181262WSep 3 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.141111113V. Hyriavyi5.005660WSep 3 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251111113V. Matviichuk3.759990
S. Honcharenko10
WSep 9 · 05:30I. Sorochan2.38961251S. Honcharenko1.53111110113LSep 8 · 10:33M. Zavoloka1.5714711113S. Honcharenko2.251211491LSep 8 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.53116111062Y. Urezchenko2.38711512113WSep 8 · 08:30S. Honcharenko1.2511119113V. Hyriavyi3.75671191WSep 8 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.531111113V. Matviichuk2.388780LSep 8 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.739680M. Zavoloka2.001111113LSep 7 · 17:39N. Priadko1.611311113S. Honcharenko2.2011890LSep 4 · 05:30S. Honcharenko2.384660Y. Zvolynskyi1.531111113WSep 3 · 10:35S. Honcharenko2.004121111113Y. Zvolynskyi1.73111071362LSep 3 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111110113S. Honcharenko2.5091181262
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