TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100562
Played Sep 9Finished
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119115––––
Ihor Sorochan
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Zvolynskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Zvolynskyi above · Ihor Sorochan below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 54 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Yurii Zvolynskyi at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Zvolynskyi 29–19 Ihor Sorochan Ihor Sorochan has won 19 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:49What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zvolynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-19 in 48
Zvolynskyi
Correct
gap of 10 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zvolynskyi 1314 vs Sorochan 1306
Zvolynskyi
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zvolynskyi 40% vs Sorochan 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zvolynskyi 60% vs Sorochan 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zvolynskyi -1 · Sorochan +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zvolynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zvolynskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZvolynskyi 1.73 / Sorochan 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zvolynskyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13100562
Zvolynskyi1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite73% won 91 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it88% 74 of 84
Sorochan2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 31 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back23% 10 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZvolynskyi6wins
AwaySorochan4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZvolynskyi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZvolynskyi62.5%5 of 8
AwaySorochann = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zvolynskyi8Sorochan2n = 10Zvolynskyi took 8 of 10
S2Zvolynskyi6Sorochan4n = 10Zvolynskyi took 6 of 10
S3Zvolynskyi3Sorochan7n = 10Sorochan took 7 of 10
S4Zvolynskyi7Sorochan2n = 9Zvolynskyi took 7 of 9
S5Zvolynskyi1Sorochan3n = 4Sorochan took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZvolynskyiSorochanZ − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.935.9+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZvolynskyiSorochanBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 576 vs 248 / 44152.4%56.2%302 / 576 vs 248 / 441Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZvolynskyiZvolynskyi 1.73/Sorochan 2.00
Hit
What we said
54.1%
Zvolynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zvolynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 15:30Y. Zvolynskyi—10111411113I. Sorochan—12716442
LAug 11 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi—1110991I. Sorochan—71211113
WAug 10 · 12:30Y. Zvolynskyi—11411113I. Sorochan—511651
WJul 12 · 05:30Y. Zvolynskyi—11119113I. Sorochan—251181
WJul 5 · 14:30Y. Zvolynskyi—11117113I. Sorochan—351181
LJun 12 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi—36111182I. Sorochan—111163113
WJun 11 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi—1211113I. Sorochan—10970
LJun 5 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi—11159882I. Sorochan—7131111113
WMay 18 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi—11119113I. Sorochan—741161
LApr 24 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi—118811102I. Sorochan—611116123
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 9 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.506480S. Honcharenko2.501111113WSep 9 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.6312711113V. Kurliuk1.441011931LSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 4 · 05:30S. Honcharenko2.384660Y. Zvolynskyi1.531111113LSep 3 · 10:35S. Honcharenko2.004121111113Y. Zvolynskyi1.73111071362WSep 3 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111110113S. Honcharenko2.5091181262WSep 3 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.141111113V. Hyriavyi5.005660
I. Sorochan10
WSep 9 · 07:30I. Sorochan1.251111113V. Kurliuk3.759590WSep 9 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.8358111182I. Sorochan1.83111189113LSep 9 · 05:30I. Sorochan2.38961251S. Honcharenko1.53111110113LSep 7 · 16:00I. Sorochan3.0010630S. Sideltsev1.361211113LSep 7 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.8091411113I. Sorochan1.911112591LSep 7 · 14:00S. Honcharenko1.571111113I. Sorochan2.257360WSep 7 · 12:30N. Priadko2.201111391I. Sorochan1.6113711113LSep 6 · 17:29I. Sorochan1.9111111111S. Honcharenko1.8091313113WSep 6 · 15:30Y. Urezchenko4.501760I. Sorochan1.171111113WSep 6 · 14:30I. Sorochan1.28111232V. Kurliuk3.5021030
Upcoming Matches
Y. Zvolynskyi
I. Sorochan
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