TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105567
Played Sep 10Finished
Mykola Pohorilyi
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119711117113––
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:13 and never touched — 64.4% is still 64.4%
Graded at full timeMykola Pohorilyi to win
64.4%
64.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Pohorilyi above · Yurii Zvolynskyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 70 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Mykola Pohorilyi at 64.4%
70 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Pohorilyi 33–20 Yurii Zvolynskyi Yurii Zvolynskyi has won 20 of their 53 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Pohorilyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-20 in 53
Pohorilyi
Correct
gap of 13 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pohorilyi 1477 vs Zvolynskyi 1307
Pohorilyi
Correct
both rated, 170 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pohorilyi 60% vs Zvolynskyi 40%
Pohorilyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pohorilyi 60% vs Zvolynskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pohorilyi +1 · Zvolynskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Pohorilyi) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPohorilyi 1.44 / Zvolynskyi 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Pohorilyi)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13105567
Pohorilyi1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 123 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it87% 98 of 113
Zvolynskyi2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 39 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back15% 12 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePohorilyi5wins
AwayZvolynskyi5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePohorilyi100%5 of 5
AwayZvolynskyi100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pohorilyi5Zvolynskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Pohorilyi4Zvolynskyi6n = 10Zvolynskyi took 6 of 10
S3Pohorilyi5Zvolynskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPohorilyiZvolynskyiP − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.532.1+0.4per matchSweeps4403–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPohorilyiZvolynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 617 vs 304 / 58056.9%52.4%351 / 617 vs 304 / 580Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohorilyiPohorilyi 1.44/Zvolynskyi 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.1%
Pohorilyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pohorilyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 09:00M. Pohorilyi—9880Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113
WAug 17 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi—1211133Y. Zvolynskyi—108110
WAug 11 · 10:28M. Pohorilyi—1211113Y. Zvolynskyi—10580
LAug 11 · 09:30M. Pohorilyi—9880Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113
LAug 10 · 17:28M. Pohorilyi—8740Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113
WAug 10 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi—1112113Y. Zvolynskyi—81060
LAug 5 · 09:30M. Pohorilyi—7670Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113
WAug 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi—1111113Y. Zvolynskyi—9820
LJul 29 · 10:38M. Pohorilyi—115111192Y. Zvolynskyi—131149113
WJul 29 · 09:30M. Pohorilyi—119813113Y. Zvolynskyi—611111172
M. Pohorilyi10
WSep 10 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.5312113123V. Simchuk2.3810911101LSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 08:30N. Priadko1.834370M. Pohorilyi1.831111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141LSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys1.221111113M. Pohorilyi4.006660WSep 5 · 05:30M. Pohorilyi1.571113113S. Sideltsev2.2591160LSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys1.221211113M. Pohorilyi4.0010590WSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162WSep 4 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi3.0071111113O. Torianyk1.36117561LSep 4 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi3.75118551D. Tsys1.2561111113
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 10 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev1.3613911203Y. Zvolynskyi3.0011119181WSep 9 · 10:33S. Honcharenko2.6381111782Y. Zvolynskyi1.44117311113LSep 9 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.1071111872M. Zavoloka1.67113711113WSep 9 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.731111113I. Sorochan2.007950LSep 9 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.506480S. Honcharenko2.501111113WSep 9 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.6312711113V. Kurliuk1.441011931LSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.