TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13103499
Played Sep 9Finished
Serhii Honcharenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811117113711811
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingSerhii Honcharenko above · Yurii Zvolynskyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 88 set 5, 8-11
88 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Honcharenko 34–53 Yurii Zvolynskyi Serhii Honcharenko has won 34 of their 87 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Honcharenko beat Zvolynskyi 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Zvolynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zvolynskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoncharenko 2.63 / Zvolynskyi 1.44
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Zvolynskyi)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13103499
Honcharenko2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 75 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back23% 24 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 60
Zvolynskyi1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 91 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it88% 74 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHoncharenko5wins
AwayZvolynskyi5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoncharenko75%3 of 4
AwayZvolynskyi66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Honcharenko4Zvolynskyi6n = 10Zvolynskyi took 6 of 10
S2Honcharenko6Zvolynskyi4n = 10Honcharenko took 6 of 10
S3Honcharenko3Zvolynskyi7n = 10Zvolynskyi took 7 of 10
S4Honcharenko5Zvolynskyi2n = 7Honcharenko took 5 of 7
S5Honcharenko2Zvolynskyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHoncharenkoZvolynskyiH − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.938.0−1.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoncharenkoZvolynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 842 vs 303 / 57851.9%52.4%437 / 842 vs 303 / 578Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZvolynskyiHoncharenko 2.63/Zvolynskyi 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Zvolynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zvolynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 07:00S. Honcharenko—1111113Y. Zvolynskyi—6480
LSep 4 · 05:30S. Honcharenko—4660Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113
WSep 3 · 10:35S. Honcharenko—4121111113Y. Zvolynskyi—111071362
LSep 3 · 09:30S. Honcharenko—91181262Y. Zvolynskyi—1111110113
WSep 1 · 10:34S. Honcharenko—561111113Y. Zvolynskyi—11118992
LSep 1 · 08:30S. Honcharenko—49120Y. Zvolynskyi—1111143
LAug 27 · 16:30S. Honcharenko—61151162Y. Zvolynskyi—119115113
WAug 25 · 08:30S. Honcharenko—11117123Y. Zvolynskyi—6311101
WAug 23 · 16:00S. Honcharenko—11118153Y. Zvolynskyi—9211131
LAug 10 · 15:00S. Honcharenko—1128101Y. Zvolynskyi—81111123
S. Honcharenko10
LSep 9 · 09:00S. Honcharenko1.91511481V. Kurliuk1.8011611113WSep 9 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.5041280S. Honcharenko2.501114113WSep 9 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.506480S. Honcharenko2.501111113WSep 9 · 05:30I. Sorochan2.38961251S. Honcharenko1.53111110113LSep 8 · 10:33M. Zavoloka1.5714711113S. Honcharenko2.251211491LSep 8 · 09:30S. Honcharenko1.53116111062Y. Urezchenko2.38711512113WSep 8 · 08:30S. Honcharenko1.2511119113V. Hyriavyi3.75671191WSep 8 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.531111113V. Matviichuk2.388780LSep 8 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.739680M. Zavoloka2.001111113LSep 7 · 17:39N. Priadko1.611311113S. Honcharenko2.2011890
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 9 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.1071111872M. Zavoloka1.67113711113WSep 9 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.731111113I. Sorochan2.007950LSep 9 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.506480S. Honcharenko2.501111113WSep 9 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.6312711113V. Kurliuk1.441011931LSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 4 · 05:30S. Honcharenko2.384660Y. Zvolynskyi1.531111113LSep 3 · 10:35S. Honcharenko2.004121111113Y. Zvolynskyi1.73111071362
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