TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106258
Played Sep 10Finished
Ihor Dubinin
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311119611611––
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:53 and never touched — 73.3% is still 73.3%
Graded at full timeIhor Dubinin to win
73.3%
73.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIhor Dubinin above · Yurii Zvolynskyi below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 68 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Ihor Dubinin at 73.3%
68 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Dubinin 17–5 Yurii Zvolynskyi Yurii Zvolynskyi has won 5 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:53What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Dubinin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-5 in 22
Dubinin
Wrong
gap of 12 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dubinin 1382 vs Zvolynskyi 1300
Dubinin
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dubinin 60% vs Zvolynskyi 40%
Dubinin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dubinin 40% vs Zvolynskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dubinin -1 · Zvolynskyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Dubinin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dubinin form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDubinin 1.33 / Zvolynskyi 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Dubinin)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13106258
Dubinin1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 54 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it84% 41 of 49
Zvolynskyi3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 39 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back15% 12 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDubinin7wins
AwayZvolynskyi3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDubinin leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDubinin83.3%5 of 6
AwayZvolynskyi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dubinin6Zvolynskyi4n = 10Dubinin took 6 of 10
S2Dubinin6Zvolynskyi4n = 10Dubinin took 6 of 10
S3Dubinin8Zvolynskyi2n = 10Dubinin took 8 of 10
S4Dubinin5Zvolynskyi3n = 8Dubinin took 5 of 8
S5Dubinin1Zvolynskyi2n = 3Zvolynskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDubininZvolynskyiD − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.737.8+3.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDubininZvolynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 446 vs 304 / 58150.9%52.3%227 / 446 vs 304 / 581Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DubininDubinin 1.33/Zvolynskyi 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.3%
Dubinin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zvolynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 12:00I. Dubinin—111111113Y. Zvolynskyi—713681
WAug 24 · 13:00I. Dubinin—91311113Y. Zvolynskyi—1111781
WAug 17 · 12:00I. Dubinin—1111113Y. Zvolynskyi—6980
LAug 4 · 17:33I. Dubinin—21111992Y. Zvolynskyi—118311113
WAug 4 · 16:30I. Dubinin—11119163Y. Zvolynskyi—9911141
WJul 17 · 12:30I. Dubinin—1111113Y. Zvolynskyi—9550
WJul 5 · 12:00I. Dubinin—71112123Y. Zvolynskyi—11610101
LJun 18 · 14:00I. Dubinin—13981192Y. Zvolynskyi—1111119113
LJun 6 · 14:00I. Dubinin—551191Y. Zvolynskyi—11118113
WMay 24 · 16:00I. Dubinin—1171211113Y. Zvolynskyi—611101372
I. Dubinin10
LSep 10 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801441361R. Hryhoriev1.91121115113WSep 10 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.00611611123V. Simchuk1.73119119102WSep 7 · 17:08S. Sideltsev2.6310960I. Dubinin1.441211113LSep 7 · 16:30S. Honcharenko3.251151112113I. Dubinin1.3351161492WSep 7 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.8091411113I. Sorochan1.911112591LSep 7 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.83114891N. Priadko1.8381111113WSep 7 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.10114511113S. Sideltsev1.6791111682LSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162LSep 4 · 15:00I. Dubinin2.6368100D. Tsys1.441111123LSep 4 · 13:30I. Dubinin3.406760O. Torianyk1.301111113
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 10 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi1.4411711113Y. Zvolynskyi2.63911731LSep 10 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev1.3613911203Y. Zvolynskyi3.0011119181WSep 9 · 10:33S. Honcharenko2.6381111782Y. Zvolynskyi1.44117311113LSep 9 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.1071111872M. Zavoloka1.67113711113WSep 9 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.731111113I. Sorochan2.007950LSep 9 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.506480S. Honcharenko2.501111113WSep 9 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.6312711113V. Kurliuk1.441011931LSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342
Upcoming Matches
I. Dubinin
Y. Zvolynskyi
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