TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106211
Played Sep 10Finished
Ihor Dubinin
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
14124111315611––
Roman Hryhoriev
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIhor Dubinin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIhor Dubinin above · Roman Hryhoriev below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 86 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Ihor Dubinin at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Dubinin 39–34 Roman Hryhoriev Roman Hryhoriev has won 34 of their 73 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:34What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dubinin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-34 in 73
Dubinin
Wrong
gap of 5 in 73, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dubinin 1395 vs Hryhoriev 1367
Dubinin
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dubinin 60% vs Hryhoriev 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dubinin 40% vs Hryhoriev 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dubinin +2 · Hryhoriev +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dubinin)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDubinin 1.80 / Hryhoriev 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dubinin)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13106211
Dubinin1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 54 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it84% 41 of 49
Hryhoriev1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 10 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDubinin6wins
AwayHryhoriev4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDubinin leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDubinin62.5%5 of 8
AwayHryhorievn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dubinin8Hryhoriev2n = 10Dubinin took 8 of 10
S2Dubinin6Hryhoriev4n = 10Dubinin took 6 of 10
S3Dubinin4Hryhoriev6n = 10Hryhoriev took 6 of 10
S4Dubinin4Hryhoriev2n = 6Dubinin took 4 of 6
S5Dubinin2Hryhoriev3n = 5Hryhoriev took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDubininHryhorievD − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.236.6+4.6per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDubininHryhorievBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 445 vs 121 / 25451%47.6%227 / 445 vs 121 / 254Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DubininDubinin 1.80/Hryhoriev 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dubinin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hryhoriev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 13:30I. Dubinin—1111183R. Hryhoriev—39160
LAug 17 · 17:08I. Dubinin—148811102R. Hryhoriev—1211116123
WAug 17 · 15:00I. Dubinin—1111113R. Hryhoriev—8770
WJul 22 · 13:30I. Dubinin—711511113R. Hryhoriev—11811122
LJul 13 · 15:00I. Dubinin—111164112R. Hryhoriev—811111133
WJul 8 · 15:00I. Dubinin—118117113R. Hryhoriev—51161172
LJul 3 · 12:00I. Dubinin—9880R. Hryhoriev—1111113
WJun 25 · 15:00I. Dubinin—11116133R. Hryhoriev—6511111
WApr 30 · 16:00I. Dubinin—1211113R. Hryhoriev—10770
LApr 16 · 12:00I. Dubinin—156111192R. Hryhoriev—1311139113
I. Dubinin10
WSep 10 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.00611611123V. Simchuk1.73119119102WSep 7 · 17:08S. Sideltsev2.6310960I. Dubinin1.441211113LSep 7 · 16:30S. Honcharenko3.251151112113I. Dubinin1.3351161492WSep 7 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.8091411113I. Sorochan1.911112591LSep 7 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.83114891N. Priadko1.8381111113WSep 7 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.10114511113S. Sideltsev1.6791111682LSep 4 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40119116113I. Dubinin2.7551151162LSep 4 · 15:00I. Dubinin2.6368100D. Tsys1.441111123LSep 4 · 13:30I. Dubinin3.406760O. Torianyk1.301111113LSep 4 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.1010350V. Simchuk1.671211113
R. Hryhoriev10
WSep 10 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev1.3613911203Y. Zvolynskyi3.0011119181LSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113LSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191WSep 3 · 14:30O. Levytskyi3.5091261192R. Hryhoriev1.281110119113WSep 3 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov2.10117451R. Hryhoriev1.6731111113WSep 3 · 12:00N. Priadko1.91148551R. Hryhoriev1.80121111113LSep 1 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.501113113R. Hryhoriev2.5071170WSep 1 · 14:30R. Hryhoriev2.381111113N. Priadko1.535580LSep 1 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801111183R. Hryhoriev1.9139160LSep 1 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev4.336930P. Kolesnik1.201111113
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